Value bet: Okzhetpes to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZhenys to win ✗45% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Zhenys vs Okzhetpes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Okzhetpes travel to face Zhenys on Sunday 5 April in the Premier League, with Astana Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Zhenys are 8th, upper half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Okzhetpes are 4th (among the top four) with 54. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Zhenys, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atyrau, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Okzhetpes, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ulytau, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Okzhetpes, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Zhenys.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zhenys 1.3 xG, Okzhetpes 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zhenys 45%, draw 26%, Okzhetpes 29%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Okzhetpes to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zhenys 1–1 Okzhetpes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zhenys45%fair 2.22 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.20
Okzhetpes29%fair 3.48 · @3.80
2.60Expected goals
1.35Zhenys xG
1.25Okzhetpes xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Zhenys 1.3 – 1.3 Okzhetpes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zhenys to win✗
45%
2.22
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.93
Draw no bet
Zhenys (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Okzhetpes +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Zhenys to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zhenys / FT Zhenys✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.85
–
Recent results
Zhenys – last 3
DLD
20 Mar
@ Atyrau
0–0
D
16 Mar
vs Ordabasy
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Kaisar
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Okzhetpes – last 3
WWD
21 Mar
vs Ulytau
2–1
W
17 Mar
@ Kaspiy
3–1
W
7 Mar
vs Yelimay Semey
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zhenys and Okzhetpes.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zhenys vs Okzhetpes?
On our numbers Zhenys have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Okzhetpes 29%.
How many goals will there be in Zhenys vs Okzhetpes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zhenys vs Okzhetpes?
Our predicted score is Zhenys 1–1 Okzhetpes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Zhenys vs Okzhetpes?
Zhenys vs Okzhetpes (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
