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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kairat Almaty v Kaisar: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Almaty Central Stadium
0–0
FT

Kaisar

WLLWD
Kairat Almaty 69%Draw 20%Kaisar 11% Expected goals 1.92 – 0.67
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKairat Almaty to win ✗69% · @1.28
Double chanceKairat Almaty or draw ✓89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78

Kairat Almaty vs Kaisar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kaisar travel to face Kairat Almaty on Saturday 23 May in the Premier League, with Almaty Central Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Kairat Almaty are 2nd, among the top four, on 65 points after 30 matches; Kaisar are 16th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 40 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kairat Almaty, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Zhenys, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Kaisar, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FK Tobol Kostanay, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kairat Almaty, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Kaisar.

Head to head

When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Kaisar 1–2 Kairat Almaty. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kairat Almaty 1 win, Kaisar 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kairat Almaty 1.9 xG, Kaisar 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kairat Almaty 69%, draw 20%, Kaisar 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kairat Almaty 2–0 Kaisar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kairat Almaty69%fair 1.45 · @1.28
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @4.80
Kaisar11%fair 9.35 · @9.40
2.59Expected goals
1.92Kairat Almaty xG
0.67Kaisar xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Kairat Almaty 1.9 – 0.7 Kaisar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKairat Almaty to win ✗69%1.451.28
Double chanceKairat Almaty or draw ✓89%1.121.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.902.20 ▲
Draw no betKairat Almaty (draw no bet)87%1.15–
Asian handicapKairat Almaty -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.351.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%2.001.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreKairat Almaty to score first ✗69%1.46–
Half-time resultKairat Almaty ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kairat Almaty / FT Kairat Almaty ✗43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.78–

Recent results

Kairat Almaty – last 6

WDWWLD
17 May@ Zhenys2–1W
10 May@ Ulytau1–1D
6 May@ Kaisar2–1W
2 May@ Irtysh1–0W
29 Apr@ Kaisar1–2L
26 Aprvs Yelimay Semey2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kaisar – last 6

WLLWDD
17 Mayvs FK Tobol Kostanay2–1W
10 May@ Aktobe0–3L
6 Mayvs Kairat Almaty1–2L
29 Aprvs Kairat Almaty2–1W
25 Apr@ Okzhetpes1–1D
19 Aprvs Altay1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026Kaisar v Kairat Almaty1–2
29 Apr 2026Kaisar v Kairat Almaty2–1
Kairat Almaty vs Kaisar head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Kaisar?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Kaisar?

On our numbers Kairat Almaty have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kaisar 11%.

How many goals will there be in Kairat Almaty vs Kaisar?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kairat Almaty vs Kaisar?

Our predicted score is Kairat Almaty 2–0 Kaisar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Kairat Almaty vs Kaisar?

Kairat Almaty vs Kaisar (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Almaty Central Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.