FK Tobol Kostanay vs Ordabasy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ordabasy travel to face FK Tobol Kostanay on Saturday 23 May in the Premier League, with Centralnyj Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th, upper half, on 41 points after 30 matches; Ordabasy are 1st (leading the league) with 68. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kaisar, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Ordabasy, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Zhetysu, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ordabasy, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for FK Tobol Kostanay.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Tobol Kostanay 1.0 xG, Ordabasy 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Tobol Kostanay 22%, draw 25%, Ordabasy 53%.
Lower-risk option: Ordabasy or draw (78%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Tobol Kostanay 1–1 Ordabasy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Tobol Kostanay22%fair 4.57 · @4.00
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.35
Ordabasy53%fair 1.88 · @1.80
2.72Expected goals
1.04FK Tobol Kostanay xG
1.68Ordabasy xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: FK Tobol Kostanay 1.0 – 1.7 Ordabasy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordabasy to win✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Double chance
Ordabasy or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Draw no bet
Ordabasy (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
FK Tobol Kostanay +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Ordabasy to score first✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6
LLWWLW
17 May
@ Kaisar
1–2
L
3 May
@ Zhenys
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ FC Astana
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Kaspiy
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Ulytau
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ Ansat
8–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ordabasy – last 6
WWDWWW
17 May
vs Zhetysu
2–1
W
13 May
vs Zhetysu
1–0
W
10 May
@ Altay
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Kaspiy
3–0
W
8 Apr
@ Akademiya Ontustik
4–2
W
20 Mar
vs Kaisar
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Tobol Kostanay and Ordabasy.
What is the prediction for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Ordabasy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win FK Tobol Kostanay vs Ordabasy?
On our numbers FK Tobol Kostanay have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ordabasy 53%.
How many goals will there be in FK Tobol Kostanay vs Ordabasy?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Ordabasy?
Our predicted score is FK Tobol Kostanay 1–1 Ordabasy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FK Tobol Kostanay vs Ordabasy?
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Ordabasy (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
