Value bet: Yelimay Semey to win @ 3.98 – our chance 38% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +53%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultYelimay Semey to win ✗38% · @3.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · fair 1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.91
Yelimay Semey vs Atyrau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 21 June: Yelimay Semey v Atyrau in the Premier League, played at Stadion Spartak. In the table, Yelimay Semey are 6th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Atyrau are 13th (lower half) with 30. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Yelimay Semey, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ordabasy, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Atyrau, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kairat Almaty, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yelimay Semey 1.3 xG, Atyrau 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yelimay Semey 38%, draw 26%, Atyrau 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Yelimay Semey to win @3.98 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yelimay Semey 1–1 Atyrau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yelimay Semey38%fair 2.60 · @3.98
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.48
Atyrau36%fair 2.79 · @1.75
2.43Expected goals
1.30Yelimay Semey xG
1.13Atyrau xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Yelimay Semey 1.3 – 1.1 Atyrau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yelimay Semey to win✗
38%
2.60
3.98 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Yelimay Semey (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Atyrau +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.02
First team to score
Yelimay Semey to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yelimay Semey / FT Yelimay Semey✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.91
–
Recent results
Yelimay Semey – last 6
LWWLLD
14 Jun
vs Ordabasy
1–3
L
28 May
@ Kaisar
3–2
W
23 May
vs Zhenys
2–1
W
3 May
@ Ulytau
0–1
L
30 Apr
@ Aktobe
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Kairat Almaty
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atyrau – last 6
DDDDDW
13 Jun
@ Kairat Almaty
1–1
D
28 May
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–1
D
23 May
@ Zhetysu
0–0
D
17 May
@ Aktobe
1–1
D
9 May
@ Okzhetpes
0–0
D
3 May
vs Altay
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yelimay Semey and Atyrau.
What is the prediction for Yelimay Semey vs Atyrau?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Yelimay Semey vs Atyrau?
On our numbers Yelimay Semey have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atyrau 36%.
How many goals will there be in Yelimay Semey vs Atyrau?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yelimay Semey vs Atyrau?
Our predicted score is Yelimay Semey 1–1 Atyrau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Yelimay Semey vs Atyrau?
Yelimay Semey vs Atyrau (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
