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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kyzyl-Zhar v Kairat Almaty: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Karasai Stadium
2–4
FT
Kyzyl-Zhar 20%Draw 25%Kairat Almaty 55% Expected goals 0.88 – 1.50
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKairat Almaty to win ✓55% · @1.60
Double chanceKairat Almaty or draw ✓80% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.91

Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kairat Almaty: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 21 June the Premier League brings Kyzyl-Zhar against Kairat Almaty at Karasai Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Kyzyl-Zhar are 10th, lower half, on 33 points after 30 matches; Kairat Almaty are 2nd (among the top four) with 65. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kyzyl-Zhar, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Kairat Almaty, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Kairat Almaty, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kyzyl-Zhar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kairat Almaty, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Jun 2026) it ended Kairat Almaty 3–0 Kyzyl-Zhar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kyzyl-Zhar 0.9 xG, Kairat Almaty 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kyzyl-Zhar 20%, draw 25%, Kairat Almaty 55%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kyzyl-Zhar 0–1 Kairat Almaty. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kyzyl-Zhar20%fair 5.02 · @5.40
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.50
Kairat Almaty55%fair 1.80 · @1.60
2.38Expected goals
0.88Kyzyl-Zhar xG
1.50Kairat Almaty xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–112%
0–210%
0–09%
1–29%
1–08%

From our goals model: Kyzyl-Zhar 0.9 – 1.5 Kairat Almaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKairat Almaty to win ✓55%1.801.60
Double chanceKairat Almaty or draw ✓80%1.251.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.872.00 ▲
Draw no betKairat Almaty (draw no bet) ✓74%1.36–
Asian handicapKyzyl-Zhar +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗91%1.10–
First team to scoreKairat Almaty to score first57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kairat Almaty / FT Kairat Almaty ✗31%3.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.91–

Recent results

Kyzyl-Zhar – last 6

LLWDLL
17 Jun@ Kairat Almaty0–3L
13 Jun@ FK Tobol Kostanay0–2L
28 Mayvs Zhetysu3–2W
23 May@ Aktobe0–0D
17 Mayvs Altay1–2L
13 May@ Zhenys0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kairat Almaty – last 6

WDLDWD
17 Junvs Kyzyl-Zhar3–0W
13 Junvs Atyrau1–1D
28 May@ Ordabasy1–2L
23 Mayvs Kaisar0–0D
17 May@ Zhenys2–1W
10 May@ Ulytau1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Jun 2026Kairat Almaty v Kyzyl-Zhar3–0
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kairat Almaty head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kairat Almaty?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kairat Almaty?

On our numbers Kyzyl-Zhar have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kairat Almaty 55%.

How many goals will there be in Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kairat Almaty?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kairat Almaty?

Our predicted score is Kyzyl-Zhar 0–1 Kairat Almaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kairat Almaty?

Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kairat Almaty (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Karasai Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.