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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Astana v Aktobe: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Astana Arena
3–2
FT

Aktobe

WLWWD
FC Astana 46%Draw 25%Aktobe 29% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.14
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Astana to win ✓46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82

FC Astana vs Aktobe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 12 July the Premier League brings FC Astana against Aktobe at Astana Arena. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, FC Astana are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Aktobe are 5th (upper half) with 49.

Current form

FC Astana, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dinamo Tirana, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Aktobe, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Zhetysu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Aktobe 2–0 FC Astana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Astana 1.5 xG, Aktobe 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Astana 46%, draw 25%, Aktobe 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Astana 1–1 Aktobe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Astana46%fair 2.17 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.25
Aktobe29%fair 3.45 · @3.20
2.67Expected goals
1.53FC Astana xG
1.14Aktobe xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: FC Astana 1.5 – 1.1 Aktobe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Astana to win ✓46%2.172.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.73
Draw no betFC Astana (draw no bet) ✓61%1.63–
Asian handicapAktobe +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.381.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreFC Astana to score first53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Astana / FT FC Astana ✗28%3.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.82–

Recent results

FC Astana – last 6

WWDLWD
9 Jul@ Dinamo Tirana1–0W
3 Julvs Zhenys1–0W
28 Jun@ Zhenys2–2D
21 Jun@ Aktobe0–2L
14 Junvs Irtysh2–0W
27 May@ Altay1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Aktobe – last 6

WLWWDD
5 Julvs Zhetysu2–1W
27 Jun@ Zhetysu0–1L
21 Junvs FC Astana2–0W
14 Junvs Altay2–0W
28 May@ Okzhetpes2–2D
23 Mayvs Kyzyl-Zhar0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Aktobe v FC Astana2–0
FC Astana vs Aktobe head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Astana vs Aktobe?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win FC Astana vs Aktobe?

On our numbers FC Astana have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aktobe 29%.

How many goals will there be in FC Astana vs Aktobe?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Astana vs Aktobe?

Our predicted score is FC Astana 1–1 Aktobe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is FC Astana vs Aktobe?

FC Astana vs Aktobe (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.