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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FK Tobol Kostanay v Okzhetpes: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Centralnyj Stadion
3–1
FT
FK Tobol Kostanay 47%Draw 24%Okzhetpes 30% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.36
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✓47% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FK Tobol Kostanay welcome Okzhetpes to Centralnyj Stadion for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 12 July (16:00 WAT). In the table, FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th, upper half, on 41 points after 30 matches; Okzhetpes are 4th (among the top four) with 54. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Altay, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Okzhetpes, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Kairat Almaty, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Okzhetpes 2–1 FK Tobol Kostanay.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FK Tobol Kostanay 1.6 xG, Okzhetpes 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FK Tobol Kostanay 47%, draw 24%, Okzhetpes 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Tobol Kostanay 1–1 Okzhetpes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FK Tobol Kostanay47%fair 2.14 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.65
Okzhetpes30%fair 3.38 · @3.25
2.95Expected goals
1.59FK Tobol Kostanay xG
1.36Okzhetpes xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: FK Tobol Kostanay 1.6 – 1.4 Okzhetpes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✓47%2.141.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.50
Draw no betFK Tobol Kostanay (draw no bet) ✓61%1.63–
Asian handicapOkzhetpes +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.551.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
First team to scoreFK Tobol Kostanay to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Tobol Kostanay / FT FK Tobol Kostanay ✓26%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.13–

Recent results

FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6

LWLWDL
4 Jul@ Altay0–1L
28 Junvs Altay3–1W
21 Jun@ Okzhetpes1–2L
13 Junvs Kyzyl-Zhar2–0W
28 May@ Atyrau1–1D
23 Mayvs Ordabasy0–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Okzhetpes – last 6

LWDDWD
27 Junvs Kairat Almaty1–3L
21 Junvs FK Tobol Kostanay2–1W
13 Jun@ Zhetysu2–2D
28 Mayvs Aktobe2–2D
22 May@ Altay1–0W
9 Mayvs Atyrau0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Okzhetpes v FK Tobol Kostanay2–1
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes?

On our numbers FK Tobol Kostanay have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Okzhetpes 30%.

How many goals will there be in FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes?

Our predicted score is FK Tobol Kostanay 1–1 Okzhetpes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes?

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.