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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atyrau v Kairat Almaty: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Turkestan Arena

Atyrau

LLWDD
1–3
FT
Atyrau 17%Draw 25%Kairat Almaty 58% Expected goals 0.83 – 1.54
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKairat Almaty to win ✓58% · @1.53
Double chanceKairat Almaty or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.88

Atyrau vs Kairat Almaty: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 18 July: Atyrau v Kairat Almaty in the Premier League, played at Turkestan Arena. In the table, Atyrau are 13th, lower half, on 30 points after 30 matches; Kairat Almaty are 2nd (among the top four) with 65. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atyrau, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kaspiy, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Kairat Almaty, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sutjeska, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours Kairat Almaty, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Atyrau.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Kairat Almaty 1–1 Atyrau.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atyrau 0.8 xG, Kairat Almaty 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atyrau 17%, draw 25%, Kairat Almaty 58%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atyrau 0–1 Kairat Almaty. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atyrau17%fair 5.82 · @6.00
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.65
Kairat Almaty58%fair 1.72 · @1.53
2.37Expected goals
0.83Atyrau xG
1.54Kairat Almaty xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
0–09%
1–29%
1–08%

From our goals model: Atyrau 0.8 – 1.5 Kairat Almaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKairat Almaty to win ✓58%1.721.53
Double chanceKairat Almaty or draw ✓83%1.211.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.912.10 ▲
Draw no betKairat Almaty (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapAtyrau +1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.461.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.771.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.301.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreKairat Almaty to score first ✓59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kairat Almaty / FT Kairat Almaty ✓33%3.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.88–

Recent results

Atyrau – last 6

LLWDDD
5 Julvs Kaspiy1–2L
27 Jun@ Kaspiy0–2L
21 Jun@ Yelimay Semey2–1W
13 Jun@ Kairat Almaty1–1D
28 Mayvs FK Tobol Kostanay1–1D
23 May@ Zhetysu0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kairat Almaty – last 6

WWWWWD
15 Jul@ Sutjeska2–0W
8 Julvs Sutjeska2–1W
27 Jun@ Okzhetpes3–1W
21 Jun@ Kyzyl-Zhar4–2W
17 Junvs Kyzyl-Zhar3–0W
13 Junvs Atyrau1–1D
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Jun 2026Kairat Almaty v Atyrau1–1
Atyrau vs Kairat Almaty head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atyrau vs Kairat Almaty?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Atyrau vs Kairat Almaty?

On our numbers Atyrau have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kairat Almaty 58%.

How many goals will there be in Atyrau vs Kairat Almaty?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atyrau vs Kairat Almaty?

Our predicted score is Atyrau 0–1 Kairat Almaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Atyrau vs Kairat Almaty?

Atyrau vs Kairat Almaty (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Turkestan Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.