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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kyzyl-Zhar v FK Tobol Kostanay: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Karasai Stadium
1–1
FT
Kyzyl-Zhar 33%Draw 26%FK Tobol Kostanay 41% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.36
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.71

Kyzyl-Zhar vs FK Tobol Kostanay: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kyzyl-Zhar welcome FK Tobol Kostanay to Karasai Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 18 July (14:00 WAT). In the table, Kyzyl-Zhar are 10th, lower half, on 33 points after 30 matches; FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th (upper half) with 41.

Current form

Kyzyl-Zhar, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Yelimay Semey, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Okzhetpes, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FK Tobol Kostanay, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended FK Tobol Kostanay 2–0 Kyzyl-Zhar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kyzyl-Zhar 1.2 xG, FK Tobol Kostanay 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kyzyl-Zhar 33%, draw 26%, FK Tobol Kostanay 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kyzyl-Zhar 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kyzyl-Zhar33%fair 3.03 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.20
FK Tobol Kostanay41%fair 2.44 · @2.30
2.58Expected goals
1.22Kyzyl-Zhar xG
1.36FK Tobol Kostanay xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Kyzyl-Zhar 1.2 – 1.4 FK Tobol Kostanay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✗41%2.442.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.73
Draw no betFK Tobol Kostanay (draw no bet)55%1.81–
Asian handicapKyzyl-Zhar +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreFK Tobol Kostanay to score first49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Tobol Kostanay / FT FK Tobol Kostanay ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.71–

Recent results

Kyzyl-Zhar – last 6

LLLLLW
4 Julvs Yelimay Semey0–1L
27 Jun@ Yelimay Semey0–2L
21 Junvs Kairat Almaty2–4L
17 Jun@ Kairat Almaty0–3L
13 Jun@ FK Tobol Kostanay0–2L
28 Mayvs Zhetysu3–2W
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6

WLWLWD
12 Julvs Okzhetpes3–1W
4 Jul@ Altay0–1L
28 Junvs Altay3–1W
21 Jun@ Okzhetpes1–2L
13 Junvs Kyzyl-Zhar2–0W
28 May@ Atyrau1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Jun 2026FK Tobol Kostanay v Kyzyl-Zhar2–0
Kyzyl-Zhar vs FK Tobol Kostanay head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kyzyl-Zhar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Kyzyl-Zhar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

On our numbers Kyzyl-Zhar have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FK Tobol Kostanay 41%.

How many goals will there be in Kyzyl-Zhar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kyzyl-Zhar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Our predicted score is Kyzyl-Zhar 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Kyzyl-Zhar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Kyzyl-Zhar vs FK Tobol Kostanay (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Karasai Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.