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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kairat Almaty v Ordabasy: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Almaty Central Stadium
2–1
FT
Kairat Almaty 40%Draw 25%Ordabasy 34% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.34
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultKairat Almaty to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.02

Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ordabasy travel to face Kairat Almaty on Sunday 26 July in the Premier League, with Almaty Central Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Kairat Almaty are 2nd, among the top four, on 65 points after 30 matches; Ordabasy are 1st (leading the league) with 68. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Kairat Almaty, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Omonia Nicosia, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Ordabasy, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Yelimay Semey, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (28 May 2026) it ended Ordabasy 2–1 Kairat Almaty.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kairat Almaty 1.4 xG, Ordabasy 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kairat Almaty 40%, draw 25%, Ordabasy 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kairat Almaty 1–1 Ordabasy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kairat Almaty40%fair 2.48 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.30
Ordabasy34%fair 2.90 · @3.00
2.69Expected goals
1.36Kairat Almaty xG
1.34Ordabasy xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Kairat Almaty 1.4 – 1.3 Ordabasy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKairat Almaty to win ✓40%2.482.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.681.67
Draw no betKairat Almaty (draw no bet) ✓54%1.85–
Asian handicapOrdabasy +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.981.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreKairat Almaty to score first ✓47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kairat Almaty / FT Kairat Almaty ✓22%4.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.02–

Recent results

Kairat Almaty – last 6

LWWWWW
22 Jul@ Omonia Nicosia0–1L
18 Jul@ Atyrau3–1W
15 Jul@ Sutjeska2–0W
8 Julvs Sutjeska2–1W
27 Jun@ Okzhetpes3–1W
21 Jun@ Kyzyl-Zhar4–2W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ordabasy – last 6

WWLWWW
19 Julvs Yelimay Semey3–1W
15 Julvs Altay3–1W
11 Jul@ Kaspiy2–3L
5 Julvs Ulytau1–0W
28 Jun@ Ulytau1–0W
20 Junvs Kaspiy2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 May 2026Ordabasy v Kairat Almaty2–1
Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy?

On our numbers Kairat Almaty have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ordabasy 34%.

How many goals will there be in Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy?

Our predicted score is Kairat Almaty 1–1 Ordabasy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy?

Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Almaty Central Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.