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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FK Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Centralnyj Stadion
1–0
FT

Atyrau

LLLWD
FK Tobol Kostanay 54%Draw 26%Atyrau 20% Expected goals 1.60 – 0.92
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✓54% · @1.75
Double chanceFK Tobol Kostanay or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 26 July the Premier League brings FK Tobol Kostanay against Atyrau at Centralnyj Stadion. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th, upper half, on 41 points after 30 matches; Atyrau are 13th (lower half) with 30.

Current form

FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Panevėžys, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Atyrau, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Kairat Almaty, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (28 May 2026) it ended Atyrau 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FK Tobol Kostanay 1.6 xG, Atyrau 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FK Tobol Kostanay 54%, draw 26%, Atyrau 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: FK Tobol Kostanay or draw (80%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Tobol Kostanay 1–0 Atyrau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FK Tobol Kostanay54%fair 1.85 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.45
Atyrau20%fair 4.94 · @4.20
2.51Expected goals
1.60FK Tobol Kostanay xG
0.92Atyrau xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: FK Tobol Kostanay 1.6 – 0.9 Atyrau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✓54%1.851.75
Double chanceFK Tobol Kostanay or draw ✓80%1.251.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.80
Draw no betFK Tobol Kostanay (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapAtyrau +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.401.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreFK Tobol Kostanay to score first ✓58%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Tobol Kostanay / FT FK Tobol Kostanay ✓32%3.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.57–

Recent results

FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6

DDWLWL
23 Jul@ Panevėžys1–1D
18 Jul@ Kyzyl-Zhar1–1D
12 Julvs Okzhetpes3–1W
4 Jul@ Altay0–1L
28 Junvs Altay3–1W
21 Jun@ Okzhetpes1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Atyrau – last 6

LLLWDD
18 Julvs Kairat Almaty1–3L
5 Julvs Kaspiy1–2L
27 Jun@ Kaspiy0–2L
21 Jun@ Yelimay Semey2–1W
13 Jun@ Kairat Almaty1–1D
28 Mayvs FK Tobol Kostanay1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 May 2026Atyrau v FK Tobol Kostanay1–1
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau?

On our numbers FK Tobol Kostanay have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atyrau 20%.

How many goals will there be in FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau?

Our predicted score is FK Tobol Kostanay 1–0 Atyrau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau?

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.