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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atyrau v Aktobe: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Turkestan Arena

Atyrau

DLLLL
1–1
FT

Aktobe

LWWLW
Atyrau 30%Draw 26%Aktobe 45% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.39
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAktobe to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.34

Atyrau vs Aktobe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aktobe travel to face Atyrau on Sunday 9 August in the Premier League, with Turkestan Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Atyrau are 13th, lower half, on 30 points after 30 matches; Aktobe are 5th (upper half) with 49. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atyrau, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Zhetysu, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Aktobe, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Kyzyl-Zhar, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Aktobe, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Atyrau.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Aktobe 1–1 Atyrau.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atyrau 1.1 xG, Aktobe 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atyrau 30%, draw 26%, Aktobe 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atyrau 1–1 Aktobe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atyrau30%fair 3.39 · @3.10
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.20
Aktobe45%fair 2.23 · @2.15
2.50Expected goals
1.11Atyrau xG
1.39Aktobe xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%

From our goals model: Atyrau 1.1 – 1.4 Aktobe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAktobe to win ✗45%2.232.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.341.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.85
Draw no betAktobe (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapAtyrau +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.441.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.801.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreAktobe to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aktobe / FT Aktobe ✗25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.34–

Recent results

Atyrau – last 6

DLLLLW
1 Augvs Zhetysu1–1D
26 Jul@ FK Tobol Kostanay0–1L
18 Julvs Kairat Almaty1–3L
5 Julvs Kaspiy1–2L
27 Jun@ Kaspiy0–2L
21 Jun@ Yelimay Semey2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Aktobe – last 6

LWWLWL
1 Aug@ Kyzyl-Zhar1–3L
25 Julvs Okzhetpes2–1W
19 Jul@ Altay4–2W
12 Jul@ FC Astana2–3L
5 Julvs Zhetysu2–1W
27 Jun@ Zhetysu0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Aktobe v Atyrau1–1
Atyrau vs Aktobe head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atyrau vs Aktobe?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Atyrau vs Aktobe?

On our numbers Atyrau have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Aktobe 45%.

How many goals will there be in Atyrau vs Aktobe?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atyrau vs Aktobe?

Our predicted score is Atyrau 1–1 Aktobe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Atyrau vs Aktobe?

Atyrau vs Aktobe (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Turkestan Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.