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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Astana v Okzhetpes: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Astana Arena
2–1
FT
FC Astana 56%Draw 24%Okzhetpes 21% Expected goals 1.70 – 1.12
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Astana to win ✓56% · @1.57
Double chanceFC Astana or draw ✓79% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.36

FC Astana vs Okzhetpes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 9 August the Premier League brings FC Astana against Okzhetpes at Astana Arena. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, FC Astana are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Okzhetpes are 4th (among the top four) with 54. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

FC Astana, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ulytau, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Okzhetpes, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Altay, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Astana, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Okzhetpes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Astana 1.7 xG, Okzhetpes 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Astana 56%, draw 24%, Okzhetpes 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Astana or draw (79%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Astana 1–1 Okzhetpes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Astana56%fair 1.79 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.26 · @4.00
Okzhetpes21%fair 4.84 · @4.75
2.81Expected goals
1.70FC Astana xG
1.12Okzhetpes xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%

From our goals model: FC Astana 1.7 – 1.1 Okzhetpes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Astana to win ✓56%1.791.57
Double chanceFC Astana or draw ✓79%1.261.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.73
Draw no betFC Astana (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapOkzhetpes +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.481.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreFC Astana to score first57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Astana / FT FC Astana ✓31%3.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.36–

Recent results

FC Astana – last 6

WWLWWW
2 Aug@ Ulytau2–0W
26 Julvs Altay4–1W
16 Julvs Dinamo Tirana1–2L
12 Julvs Aktobe3–2W
9 Jul@ Dinamo Tirana1–0W
3 Julvs Zhenys1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Okzhetpes – last 6

WLWLLW
2 Augvs Altay4–1W
25 Jul@ Aktobe1–2L
18 Julvs Zhetysu2–0W
12 Jul@ FK Tobol Kostanay1–3L
27 Junvs Kairat Almaty1–3L
21 Junvs FK Tobol Kostanay2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Astana and Okzhetpes.

FC Astana vs Okzhetpes head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Astana vs Okzhetpes?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win FC Astana vs Okzhetpes?

On our numbers FC Astana have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Okzhetpes 21%.

How many goals will there be in FC Astana vs Okzhetpes?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Astana vs Okzhetpes?

Our predicted score is FC Astana 1–1 Okzhetpes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is FC Astana vs Okzhetpes?

FC Astana vs Okzhetpes (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.