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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Irtysh v Kyzyl-Zhar: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Centralnyj Stadion

Irtysh

WWLWL
0–2
FT
Irtysh 57%Draw 26%Kyzyl-Zhar 17% Expected goals 1.67 – 0.82
83%
Betarazi pick

Irtysh or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Irtysh to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultIrtysh to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceIrtysh or draw ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55

Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kyzyl-Zhar travel to face Irtysh on Saturday 10 October in the Premier League, with Centralnyj Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Irtysh are 12th, lower half, on 32 points after 30 matches; Kyzyl-Zhar are 10th (lower half) with 33. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Irtysh, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Altay, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Kyzyl-Zhar, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kaisar, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Irtysh, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Irtysh 1–2 Kyzyl-Zhar. The last 2 head-to-heads: Irtysh 0 wins, Kyzyl-Zhar 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Irtysh 1.7 xG, Kyzyl-Zhar 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Irtysh 57%, draw 26%, Kyzyl-Zhar 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Irtysh or draw (83%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Irtysh to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Irtysh or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Irtysh 1–0 Kyzyl-Zhar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Irtysh57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.10
Kyzyl-Zhar17%fair 5.81 · @3.40
2.49Expected goals
1.67Irtysh xG
0.82Kyzyl-Zhar xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Irtysh 1.7 – 0.8 Kyzyl-Zhar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIrtysh to win ✗57%1.761.95 ▲
Double chanceIrtysh or draw ✗83%1.211.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.75
Draw no betIrtysh (draw no bet) ✗77%1.30–
Asian handicapKyzyl-Zhar +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.83–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreIrtysh to score first ✗62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Irtysh / FT Irtysh ✗35%2.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.55–

Recent results

Irtysh – last 6

WWLWLL
18 Sep@ Altay2–1W
13 Sepvs Okzhetpes2–1W
5 Sep@ Zhetysu0–1L
30 Augvs Aktobe2–1W
16 Augvs FK Tobol Kostanay0–2L
9 Aug@ Yelimay Semey1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kyzyl-Zhar – last 6

DLLLDD
18 Sepvs Kaisar1–1D
12 Sep@ Zhenys1–3L
5 Sepvs Atyrau0–1L
29 Aug@ Ordabasy0–3L
16 Augvs FC Astana1–1D
8 Aug@ Altay2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026Irtysh v Kyzyl-Zhar1–2
20 Mar 2026Kyzyl-Zhar v Irtysh2–2
Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Our pick is Irtysh or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

On our numbers Irtysh have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kyzyl-Zhar 17%.

How many goals will there be in Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Our predicted score is Irtysh 1–0 Kyzyl-Zhar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.