Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Irtysh to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIrtysh to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceIrtysh or draw ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kyzyl-Zhar travel to face Irtysh on Saturday 10 October in the Premier League, with Centralnyj Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Irtysh are 12th, lower half, on 32 points after 30 matches; Kyzyl-Zhar are 10th (lower half) with 33. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Irtysh, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Altay, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Kyzyl-Zhar, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kaisar, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Irtysh, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Kyzyl-Zhar.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Irtysh 1–2 Kyzyl-Zhar. The last 2 head-to-heads: Irtysh 0 wins, Kyzyl-Zhar 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Irtysh 1.7 xG, Kyzyl-Zhar 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Irtysh 57%, draw 26%, Kyzyl-Zhar 17%.
Lower-risk option: Irtysh or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Irtysh to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Irtysh or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Irtysh 1–0 Kyzyl-Zhar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Irtysh57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.10
Kyzyl-Zhar17%fair 5.81 · @3.40
2.49Expected goals
1.67Irtysh xG
0.82Kyzyl-Zhar xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Irtysh 1.7 – 0.8 Kyzyl-Zhar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Irtysh or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
On our numbers Irtysh have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kyzyl-Zhar 17%.
How many goals will there be in Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
Our predicted score is Irtysh 1–0 Kyzyl-Zhar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.