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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FK Tobol Kostanay v FC Astana: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Centralnyj Stadion
2–1
FT
FK Tobol Kostanay 36%Draw 21%FC Astana 43% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.40
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Astana to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56

FK Tobol Kostanay vs FC Astana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: FK Tobol Kostanay v FC Astana in the Premier League, played at Centralnyj Stadion. In the table, FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th, upper half, on 41 points after 30 matches; FC Astana are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Yelimay Semey, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

FC Astana, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kairat Almaty, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended FC Astana 1–2 FK Tobol Kostanay. The last 2 head-to-heads: FK Tobol Kostanay 1 win, FC Astana 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FK Tobol Kostanay 1.3 xG, FC Astana 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FK Tobol Kostanay 36%, draw 21%, FC Astana 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Tobol Kostanay 1–1 FC Astana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FK Tobol Kostanay36%fair 2.78 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
FC Astana43%fair 2.34 · @2.10
2.65Expected goals
1.25FK Tobol Kostanay xG
1.40FC Astana xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: FK Tobol Kostanay 1.3 – 1.4 FC Astana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Astana to win ✗43%2.342.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.62
Draw no betFC Astana (draw no bet) ✗54%1.84–
Asian handicapFK Tobol Kostanay +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.98–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreFC Astana to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Astana / FT FC Astana ✗24%4.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.56–

Recent results

FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6

LWWLWW
17 Sepvs Yelimay Semey0–2L
13 Sep@ Kairat Almaty4–1W
6 Sepvs Ulytau3–1W
30 Aug@ Kaspiy0–1L
25 Augvs Kaisar3–2W
16 Aug@ Irtysh2–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Astana – last 6

WLWWDW
17 Sepvs Kairat Almaty1–0W
12 Sep@ Ordabasy0–1L
6 Sepvs Yelimay Semey4–0W
30 Aug@ Atyrau3–2W
16 Aug@ Kyzyl-Zhar1–1D
9 Augvs Okzhetpes2–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026FC Astana v FK Tobol Kostanay1–2
20 Mar 2026FC Astana v FK Tobol Kostanay2–0
FK Tobol Kostanay vs FC Astana head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FC Astana?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win FK Tobol Kostanay vs FC Astana?

On our numbers FK Tobol Kostanay have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Astana 43%.

How many goals will there be in FK Tobol Kostanay vs FC Astana?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FC Astana?

Our predicted score is FK Tobol Kostanay 1–1 FC Astana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is FK Tobol Kostanay vs FC Astana?

FK Tobol Kostanay vs FC Astana (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.