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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Okzhetpes v Kaspiy: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Okzhetpes Stadium
3–0
FT

Kaspiy

DWWLL
Okzhetpes 68%Draw 21%Kaspiy 11% Expected goals 1.99 – 0.67
68%
Betarazi pick

Okzhetpes to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultOkzhetpes to win ✓68% · @1.50
Double chanceOkzhetpes or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78

Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Okzhetpes welcome Kaspiy to Okzhetpes Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 24 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Okzhetpes are 4th, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Kaspiy are 11th (lower half) with 33. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Okzhetpes, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kyzyl-Zhar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Kaspiy, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC Astana, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Kaspiy 1–3 Okzhetpes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Okzhetpes 2.0 xG, Kaspiy 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Okzhetpes 68%, draw 21%, Kaspiy 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Okzhetpes to win (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Okzhetpes 1–0 Kaspiy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Okzhetpes68%fair 1.47 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.75
Kaspiy11%fair 8.94 · @5.50
2.66Expected goals
1.99Okzhetpes xG
0.67Kaspiy xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Okzhetpes 2.0 – 0.7 Kaspiy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOkzhetpes to win ✓68%1.471.50
Double chanceOkzhetpes or draw ✓89%1.131.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.771.75
Draw no betOkzhetpes (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapOkzhetpes -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreOkzhetpes to score first ✓70%1.44–
Half-time resultOkzhetpes ahead at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Okzhetpes / FT Okzhetpes ✓44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.78–

Recent results

Okzhetpes – last 6

WLWLWW
17 Octvs Kyzyl-Zhar1–0W
11 Oct@ Ulytau0–2L
18 Sepvs Zhenys3–1W
13 Sep@ Irtysh1–2L
5 Sepvs Ordabasy2–1W
29 Aug@ Kaisar3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kaspiy – last 6

DWWLLW
18 Oct@ FC Astana2–2D
11 Octvs Altay2–1W
18 Sep@ Zhetysu1–0W
12 Sepvs Aktobe1–2L
5 Sepvs Kairat Almaty0–3L
30 Augvs FK Tobol Kostanay1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026Kaspiy v Okzhetpes1–3
Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy?

Our pick is Okzhetpes to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy?

On our numbers Okzhetpes have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kaspiy 11%.

How many goals will there be in Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy?

Our predicted score is Okzhetpes 1–0 Kaspiy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy?

Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Okzhetpes Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.