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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zhetysu v FK Tobol Kostanay: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan

Zhetysu

WLLLW
1–1
FT
Zhetysu 38%Draw 21%FK Tobol Kostanay 40% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.37
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.73Odds
2

Value bet: FK Tobol Kostanay to win @ 2.88 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✗40% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.91

Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zhetysu welcome FK Tobol Kostanay for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 24 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Zhetysu are 15th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th (upper half) with 41. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Zhetysu, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kaisar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Zhenys, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours FK Tobol Kostanay, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Zhetysu.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Mar 2026) it ended FK Tobol Kostanay 2–2 Zhetysu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zhetysu 1.3 xG, FK Tobol Kostanay 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zhetysu 38%, draw 21%, FK Tobol Kostanay 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: FK Tobol Kostanay to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zhetysu 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zhetysu38%fair 2.60 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
FK Tobol Kostanay40%fair 2.48 · @2.88
2.70Expected goals
1.33Zhetysu xG
1.37FK Tobol Kostanay xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Zhetysu 1.3 – 1.4 FK Tobol Kostanay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✗40%2.482.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.73 ▲
Draw no betFK Tobol Kostanay (draw no bet)51%1.95–
Asian handicapZhetysu +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreFK Tobol Kostanay to score first ✗47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Tobol Kostanay / FT FK Tobol Kostanay ✗22%4.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.91–

Recent results

Zhetysu – last 6

WLLLWL
17 Octvs Kaisar2–1W
10 Oct@ Kairat Almaty0–1L
18 Sepvs Kaspiy0–1L
12 Sep@ Yelimay Semey1–2L
5 Sepvs Irtysh1–0W
29 Aug@ Ulytau0–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6

WWLWWL
17 Octvs Zhenys4–2W
10 Octvs FC Astana2–1W
17 Sepvs Yelimay Semey0–2L
13 Sep@ Kairat Almaty4–1W
6 Sepvs Ulytau3–1W
30 Aug@ Kaspiy0–1L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Mar 2026FK Tobol Kostanay v Zhetysu2–2
Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

On our numbers Zhetysu have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FK Tobol Kostanay 40%.

How many goals will there be in Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Our predicted score is Zhetysu 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.