Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultNaft to win ✗62% · @1.45
Double chanceNaft or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.69
Naft vs Al Najaf: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 13 March the Iraqi League brings Naft against Al Najaf. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Naft, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al Karkh, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naft 1.6 xG, Al Najaf 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 39%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naft 62%, draw 24%, Al Najaf 13%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naft 1–0 Al Najaf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naft62%fair 1.60 · @1.45
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.50
Al Najaf13%fair 7.61 · @7.00
2.21Expected goals
1.60Naft xG
0.61Al Najaf xG
39%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Naft 1.6 – 0.6 Al Najaf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naft to win✗
62%
1.60
1.45
Double chance
Naft or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
–
Draw no bet
Naft (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Naft -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Naft to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naft / FT Naft✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.69
–
Recent results
Naft – last 3
LWL
6 Mar
vs Al Karkh
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Baghdad
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Zakho
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al Najaf – last 2
LL
6 Mar
vs Al Minaa Basra
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Newroz
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naft and Al Najaf.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Naft vs Al Najaf?
On our numbers Naft have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Al Najaf 13%.
How many goals will there be in Naft vs Al Najaf?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft vs Al Najaf?
Our predicted score is Naft 1–0 Al Najaf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Naft vs Al Najaf?
Naft vs Al Najaf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
