Both teams scoreNot both teams to score58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.65
Erbil vs Al Minaa Basra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Erbil welcome Al Minaa Basra to Franso Hariri Stadium for a Iraqi League fixture on Friday 13 March (21:15 WAT). In the table, Erbil are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Al Minaa Basra are 9th (upper half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Minaa Basra, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Al Najaf, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Erbil 1.5 xG, Al Minaa Basra 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 42%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Erbil 55%, draw 26%, Al Minaa Basra 19%.
Lower-risk option: Erbil or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erbil 1–0 Al Minaa Basra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Erbil55%fair 1.82 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
Al Minaa Basra19%fair 5.24 · @4.20
2.31Expected goals
1.51Erbil xG
0.80Al Minaa Basra xG
42%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Erbil 1.5 – 0.8 Al Minaa Basra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erbil to win
55%
1.82
1.80
Double chance
Erbil or draw
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
Erbil (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Al Minaa Basra +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Erbil to score first
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erbil / FT Erbil
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.65
–
Recent results
Erbil – last 1
L
14 Feb
vs Zakho
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al Minaa Basra – last 3
WWL
6 Mar
@ Al Najaf
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Al-Karma
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs Gharraf
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erbil and Al Minaa Basra.
What is the prediction for Erbil vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Erbil vs Al Minaa Basra?
On our numbers Erbil have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Al Minaa Basra 19%.
How many goals will there be in Erbil vs Al Minaa Basra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erbil vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our predicted score is Erbil 1–0 Al Minaa Basra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Erbil vs Al Minaa Basra?
Erbil vs Al Minaa Basra (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Franso Hariri Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Najaf1