Value bet: Dalian Huayi to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDalian Huayi to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceDalian Huayi or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Dalian Huayi vs Dongguan United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dongguan United travel to face Dalian Huayi on Saturday 2 May in the League One, with Dalian Sports Center Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 08:00 WAT. In the table, Dalian Huayi are 11th, lower half, on 37 points after 30 matches; Dongguan United are 16th (in the drop zone) with 16. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Dalian Huayi, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nantong Zhiyun, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Dongguan United, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Shenzhen Juniors, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dalian Huayi 2.0 xG, Dongguan United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dalian Huayi 61%, draw 24%, Dongguan United 16%.
Lower-risk option: Dalian Huayi or draw (84%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Dalian Huayi to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dalian Huayi 2–0 Dongguan United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dalian Huayi61%fair 1.65 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Dongguan United16%fair 6.40 · @4.40
2.93Expected goals
2.02Dalian Huayi xG
0.91Dongguan United xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Dalian Huayi 2.0 – 0.9 Dongguan United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dalian Huayi to win✗
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Dalian Huayi or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.83
Draw no bet
Dalian Huayi (draw no bet)
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Dalian Huayi -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Dalian Huayi to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Dalian Huayi ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dalian Huayi / FT Dalian Huayi✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Dalian Huayi – last 5
LWLDW
26 Apr
@ Nantong Zhiyun
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Wuxi Wugou
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs Yanbian Longding
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Suzhou Dongwu
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Dongguan United – last 6
WLWLLL
25 Apr
@ Shenzhen Juniors
3–0
W
18 Apr
vs Changchun Yatai
1–3
L
12 Apr
@ Hebei Kungfu
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Meizhou Kejia
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Guangzhou E-Power
2–3
L
14 Mar
@ Wuxi Wugou
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dalian Huayi and Dongguan United.
What is the prediction for Dalian Huayi vs Dongguan United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Dalian Huayi vs Dongguan United?
On our numbers Dalian Huayi have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dongguan United 16%.
How many goals will there be in Dalian Huayi vs Dongguan United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dalian Huayi vs Dongguan United?
Our predicted score is Dalian Huayi 2–0 Dongguan United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Dalian Huayi vs Dongguan United?
Dalian Huayi vs Dongguan United (League One) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Dalian Sports Center Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
