Value bet: Shaanxi Union to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShaanxi Union to win ✗44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shaanxi Union: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shaanxi Union travel to face Heilongjiang Lava Spring on Saturday 2 May in the League One, with Dingnan Football Youth Training Center the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 30 matches; Shaanxi Union are 3rd (among the top four) with 51. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Heilongjiang Lava Spring, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hebei Kungfu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Shaanxi Union, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Yanbian Longding, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Heilongjiang Lava Spring, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Shaanxi Union.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.0 xG, Shaanxi Union 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heilongjiang Lava Spring 31%, draw 25%, Shaanxi Union 44%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Shaanxi Union to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Shaanxi Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heilongjiang Lava Spring31%fair 3.23 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.00
Shaanxi Union44%fair 2.25 · @2.55
2.53Expected goals
1.02Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
1.51Shaanxi Union xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.0 – 1.5 Shaanxi Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shaanxi Union to win✗
44%
2.25
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Draw no bet
Shaanxi Union (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Heilongjiang Lava Spring +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Shaanxi Union to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shaanxi Union / FT Shaanxi Union✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Heilongjiang Lava Spring – last 5
WDDDW
19 Apr
@ Hebei Kungfu
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Nanjing City
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Dalian Huayi
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Nantong Zhiyun
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Guangxi Hengchen
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Shaanxi Union – last 5
DDLWL
25 Apr
@ Yanbian Longding
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Nantong Zhiyun
0–0
D
11 Apr
@ Changchun Yatai
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Hebei Kungfu
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Shenzhen Juniors
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Shaanxi Union.
What is the prediction for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shaanxi Union?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shaanxi Union?
On our numbers Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shaanxi Union 44%.
How many goals will there be in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shaanxi Union?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shaanxi Union?
Our predicted score is Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Shaanxi Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shaanxi Union?
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shaanxi Union (League One) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
