Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGuangxi Hengchen to win ✗67% · @1.50
Double chanceGuangxi Hengchen or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Guangxi Hengchen vs Dongguan United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Saturday 30 May: Guangxi Hengchen v Dongguan United in the League One, played at Guangxi Sports Center. In the table, Guangxi Hengchen are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Dongguan United are 16th (in the drop zone) with 16. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Guangxi Hengchen, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nantong Zhiyun, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Dongguan United, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Heilongjiang Lava Spring, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Guangxi Hengchen, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Dongguan United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guangxi Hengchen 2.2 xG, Dongguan United 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guangxi Hengchen 67%, draw 21%, Dongguan United 12%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guangxi Hengchen 2–0 Dongguan United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guangxi Hengchen67%fair 1.49 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.65
Dongguan United12%fair 8.16 · @6.25
3.02Expected goals
2.18Guangxi Hengchen xG
0.84Dongguan United xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Guangxi Hengchen 2.2 – 0.8 Dongguan United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guangxi Hengchen to win✗
67%
1.49
1.50
Double chance
Guangxi Hengchen or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Guangxi Hengchen (draw no bet)
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Guangxi Hengchen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Guangxi Hengchen to score first
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Guangxi Hengchen ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guangxi Hengchen / FT Guangxi Hengchen✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Guangxi Hengchen – last 6
DWDWWW
23 May
vs Nantong Zhiyun
0–0
D
17 May
@ Hubei Chufeng Heli
4–0
W
10 May
@ Yanbian Longding
1–1
D
2 May
@ Hebei Kungfu
3–0
W
4 Apr
vs Guangzhou E-Power
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Ningbo Professional
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dongguan United – last 6
DDDWLW
23 May
vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1–1
D
10 May
vs Suzhou Dongwu
1–1
D
2 May
@ Dalian Huayi
2–2
D
25 Apr
@ Shenzhen Juniors
3–0
W
18 Apr
vs Changchun Yatai
1–3
L
12 Apr
@ Hebei Kungfu
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guangxi Hengchen and Dongguan United.
What is the prediction for Guangxi Hengchen vs Dongguan United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Guangxi Hengchen vs Dongguan United?
On our numbers Guangxi Hengchen have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dongguan United 12%.
How many goals will there be in Guangxi Hengchen vs Dongguan United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guangxi Hengchen vs Dongguan United?
Our predicted score is Guangxi Hengchen 2–0 Dongguan United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Guangxi Hengchen vs Dongguan United?
Guangxi Hengchen vs Dongguan United (League One) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Guangxi Sports Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
