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Meizhou Kejia v Heilongjiang Lava Spring: numbers & prediction

League One · China · Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre
Meizhou Kejia 30%Draw 25%Heilongjiang Lava Spring 45% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.53
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultHeilongjiang Lava Spring to win ✗45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.91

Meizhou Kejia vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 30 May the League One brings Meizhou Kejia against Heilongjiang Lava Spring at Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Meizhou Kejia are 15th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 30 matches; Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th (in the drop zone) with 28. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Meizhou Kejia, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hebei Kungfu, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Heilongjiang Lava Spring, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dongguan United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Meizhou Kejia 1.2 xG, Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Meizhou Kejia 30%, draw 25%, Heilongjiang Lava Spring 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Meizhou Kejia 1–1 Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Meizhou Kejia30%fair 3.38 · @2.95
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.20
Heilongjiang Lava Spring45%fair 2.22 · @2.25
2.72Expected goals
1.19Meizhou Kejia xG
1.53Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Meizhou Kejia 1.2 – 1.5 Heilongjiang Lava Spring expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHeilongjiang Lava Spring to win ✗45%2.222.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.70
Draw no betHeilongjiang Lava Spring (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapMeizhou Kejia +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.971.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreHeilongjiang Lava Spring to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Heilongjiang Lava Spring / FT Heilongjiang Lava Spring ✗27%3.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.91–

Recent results

Meizhou Kejia – last 6

WLLLLW
24 May@ Hebei Kungfu1–0W
16 May@ Rizhao Yuqi1–2L
9 May@ Nanjing City0–2L
3 Mayvs Shenzhen Juniors1–4L
19 Apr@ Guangzhou E-Power0–3L
5 Apr@ Dongguan United1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Heilongjiang Lava Spring – last 6

DLLDWD
23 May@ Dongguan United1–1D
17 May@ Shanghai Zetian2–4L
9 Mayvs Changchun Yatai2–3L
2 Mayvs Shaanxi Union1–1D
19 Apr@ Hebei Kungfu2–1W
12 Aprvs Nanjing City1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Meizhou Kejia and Heilongjiang Lava Spring.

Meizhou Kejia vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangzhou E-Power301884+2762
2Nantong Zhiyun301695+1857
3Shaanxi Union301569+2751
4Guangxi Hengchen301389+747
5Shenzhen Juniors3012117+747
6Yanbian Longding3012108+1246
7Wuxi Wugou3012711+1143
8Hebei Kungfu3011910+142
9Changchun Yatai3012711+139
10Ningbo Professional3011712-137
11Dalian Huayi3091011-537
12Nanjing City309714-834
13Suzhou Dongwu3081111-632
14Heilongjiang Lava Spring3051312-1328
15Meizhou Kejia307419-3716
16Dongguan United303720-4116

More League One predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Meizhou Kejia vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Meizhou Kejia vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?

On our numbers Meizhou Kejia have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Heilongjiang Lava Spring 45%.

How many goals will there be in Meizhou Kejia vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Meizhou Kejia vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?

Our predicted score is Meizhou Kejia 1–1 Heilongjiang Lava Spring, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Meizhou Kejia vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?

Meizhou Kejia vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring (League One) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.