Value bet: Nanjing City to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNanjing City to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceNanjing City or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Nanjing City vs Dongguan United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 July the League One brings Nanjing City against Dongguan United at Wutaishan Stadium. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Nanjing City are 12th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Dongguan United are 16th (in the drop zone) with 16. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nanjing City, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hebei Kungfu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Dongguan United, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Yanbian Longding, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nanjing City, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Dongguan United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nanjing City 2.0 xG, Dongguan United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nanjing City 60%, draw 22%, Dongguan United 18%.
Lower-risk option: Nanjing City or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Nanjing City to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nanjing City 2–0 Dongguan United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nanjing City60%fair 1.67 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Dongguan United18%fair 5.70 · @3.90
2.87Expected goals
1.96Nanjing City xG
0.91Dongguan United xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Nanjing City 2.0 – 0.9 Dongguan United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nanjing City to win✓
60%
1.67
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Nanjing City or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
Nanjing City (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Nanjing City -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Nanjing City to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Nanjing City ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nanjing City / FT Nanjing City✓
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Nanjing City – last 6
LLWDWW
27 Jun
@ Hebei Kungfu
1–2
L
13 Jun
vs Ningbo Professional
1–2
L
29 May
@ Shaanxi Union
1–0
W
23 May
@ Wuxi Wugou
1–1
D
9 May
vs Meizhou Kejia
2–0
W
3 May
vs Suzhou Dongwu
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dongguan United – last 6
LLDDDD
27 Jun
vs Yanbian Longding
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Shaanxi Union
0–5
L
30 May
@ Guangxi Hengchen
3–3
D
23 May
vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1–1
D
10 May
vs Suzhou Dongwu
1–1
D
2 May
@ Dalian Huayi
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nanjing City and Dongguan United.
What is the prediction for Nanjing City vs Dongguan United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Nanjing City vs Dongguan United?
On our numbers Nanjing City have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dongguan United 18%.
How many goals will there be in Nanjing City vs Dongguan United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nanjing City vs Dongguan United?
Our predicted score is Nanjing City 2–0 Dongguan United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Nanjing City vs Dongguan United?
Nanjing City vs Dongguan United (League One) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Wutaishan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
