Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.02 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSka-khabarovsk to win ✗45% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.02
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Ska-khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ska-khabarovsk welcome Arsenal Tula to Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina for a First League fixture on Sunday 22 March (06:00 WAT). In the table, Ska-khabarovsk are 15th, lower half, on 16 points after 17 matches; Arsenal Tula are 12th (lower half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ska-khabarovsk, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Rodina Moskva, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Arsenal Tula, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ural, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ska-khabarovsk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Arsenal Tula.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ska-khabarovsk 1.6 xG, Arsenal Tula 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ska-khabarovsk 45%, draw 25%, Arsenal Tula 30%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.02.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.02 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ska-khabarovsk 1–1 Arsenal Tula. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ska-khabarovsk45%fair 2.21 · @2.52
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.05
Arsenal Tula30%fair 3.35 · @2.82
2.72Expected goals
1.61Ska-khabarovsk xG
1.12Arsenal Tula xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ska-khabarovsk 1.6 – 1.1 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ska-khabarovsk
Arsenal Tula
Attack vs First League average
+6%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
+37%
Our expected goals here
2.15
1.24
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ska-khabarovsk to win✗
45%
2.21
2.52 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
2.02 ▲
Draw no bet
Ska-khabarovsk (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Arsenal Tula +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.52
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.02
First team to score
Ska-khabarovsk to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ska-khabarovsk / FT Ska-khabarovsk✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Ska-khabarovsk – last 4
DLWW
14 Mar
vs Rodina Moskva
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Chernomorets
0–3
L
1 Mar
@ Chayka
3–1
W
17 Feb
vs Zenit 2
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Arsenal Tula – last 4
LLLD
15 Mar
@ Ural
0–2
L
9 Mar
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Lokomotiv
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ KAMAZ
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ska-khabarovsk and Arsenal Tula.
What is the prediction for Ska-khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Ska-khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula?
On our numbers Ska-khabarovsk have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arsenal Tula 30%.
How many goals will there be in Ska-khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ska-khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula?
Our predicted score is Ska-khabarovsk 1–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ska-khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula?
Ska-khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula (First League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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