Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Kostroma to win ✗43% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.48
Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Spartak Kostroma v Shinnik Yaroslavl in the First League, played at Stadion Urozhay. In the table, Spartak Kostroma are 6th, upper half, on 28 points after 17 matches; Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th (upper half) with 26. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Enisey, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Kostroma 1.2 xG, Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Kostroma 43%, draw 28%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 29%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.49). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Kostroma 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Kostroma43%fair 2.35 · @2.04
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.08
Shinnik Yaroslavl29%fair 3.39 · @3.78
2.22Expected goals
1.21Spartak Kostroma xG
1.01Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Spartak Kostroma 1.2 – 1.0 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Spartak Kostroma
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Attack vs First League average
-4%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.15
1.05
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Kostroma to win✗
43%
2.35
2.04
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Spartak Kostroma (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Shinnik Yaroslavl +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.49
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.46
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.13
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.01
First team to score
Spartak Kostroma to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.48
–
Recent results
Spartak Kostroma – last 1
D
7 Mar
@ Chelyabinsk
3–3
D
3.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 3
DWL
15 Mar
vs Enisey
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs FC UFA
1–0
W
2 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Kostroma and Shinnik Yaroslavl.
What is the prediction for Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers Spartak Kostroma have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 29%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our predicted score is Spartak Kostroma 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Spartak Kostroma vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Urozhay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FK Sokol Saratov0