Chelyabinsk 32%Draw 27%Torpedo Moskva 42%Expected goals 1.05 – 1.37
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.41 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
2
Value bet: Torpedo Moskva to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 23 March the First League brings Chelyabinsk against Torpedo Moskva at Central Stadium. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Chelyabinsk are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 17 matches; Torpedo Moskva are 3rd (among the top four) with 32.
Current form
Chelyabinsk, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Volga Ulyanovsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Torpedo Moskva, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FK Neftekhimik, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Torpedo Moskva, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Chelyabinsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelyabinsk 1.0 xG, Torpedo Moskva 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelyabinsk 32%, draw 27%, Torpedo Moskva 42%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.97.
Price worth noting: Torpedo Moskva to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelyabinsk 1–1 Torpedo Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelyabinsk32%fair 3.14 · @2.76
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.08
Torpedo Moskva42%fair 2.40 · @2.55
2.42Expected goals
1.05Chelyabinsk xG
1.37Torpedo Moskva xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Chelyabinsk 1.0 – 1.4 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chelyabinsk
Torpedo Moskva
Attack vs First League average
+2%
+19%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
-32%
Our expected goals here
1.03
1.58
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Moskva to win✓
42%
2.40
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.97
Draw no bet
Torpedo Moskva (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Chelyabinsk +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.41
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.01
First team to score
Torpedo Moskva to score first✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Chelyabinsk – last 6
DDWWLL
15 Mar
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Spartak Kostroma
3–3
D
28 Feb
@ FK Sokol Saratov
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Zenit 2
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–3
L
13 Feb
vs KAMAZ
2–5
L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Torpedo Moskva – last 3
WLW
16 Mar
vs FK Neftekhimik
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Rodina Moskva
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Chernomorets
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelyabinsk and Torpedo Moskva.
What is the prediction for Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
On our numbers Chelyabinsk have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Torpedo Moskva 42%.
How many goals will there be in Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our predicted score is Chelyabinsk 1–1 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rodina Moskva5
Chayka2