Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.03 – our chance 56% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRodina Moskva to win ✓70% · @1.29
Double chanceRodina Moskva or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.03
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Rodina Moskva vs Chayka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Monday 23 March: Rodina Moskva v Chayka in the First League, played at Arena Khimki.
Current form
Rodina Moskva, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ska-khabarovsk, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva 2.2 xG, Chayka 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva 70%, draw 18%, Chayka 12%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.03.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.03 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rodina Moskva to win (70%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva 2–0 Chayka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rodina Moskva70%fair 1.44 · @1.29
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @5.05
Chayka12%fair 8.08 · @9.40
2.98Expected goals
2.17Rodina Moskva xG
0.81Chayka xG
56%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva 2.2 – 0.8 Chayka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rodina Moskva
Chayka
Attack vs First League average
+29%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+26%
Our expected goals here
2.40
0.96
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rodina Moskva to win✓
70%
1.44
1.29
Double chance
Rodina Moskva or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
2.03 ▲
Draw no bet
Rodina Moskva (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Rodina Moskva -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.39
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.12
First team to score
Rodina Moskva to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Rodina Moskva ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rodina Moskva / FT Rodina Moskva✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Rodina Moskva – last 3
DWW
14 Mar
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chayka – last 2
WL
7 Mar
vs FK Sokol Saratov
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Ska-khabarovsk
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rodina Moskva and Chayka.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva vs Chayka?
Our pick is Rodina Moskva to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Chayka?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Chayka 12%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva vs Chayka?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs Chayka?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva 2–0 Chayka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva vs Chayka?
Rodina Moskva vs Chayka (First League) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chelyabinsk0
Torpedo Moskva1