Georgia v Northern Ireland: numbers & prediction

Georgia vs Northern Ireland: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Friday 25 September: Georgia v Northern Ireland in the UEFA Nations League, played at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena. In the table, Georgia are 4th on 2 points after 4 matches; Northern Ireland are 1st with 8.

Current form

Georgia, last 4: WDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bahrain, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Northern Ireland, last 4: LWDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to France, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Georgia, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Northern Ireland.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Georgia 61%, draw 24%, Northern Ireland 15%.
• Lower-risk option: Georgia or draw (85%) at 1.22.
• Price worth noting: Georgia to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Georgia or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.