19:45 WAT, Friday 25 September: Italy v Belgium in the UEFA Nations League, played at Stadio Olimpico. In the table, Italy are 2nd on 7 points after 4 matches; Belgium are 3rd with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Italy, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Greece, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Belgium, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Spain, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Italy, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Belgium.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Italy 52%, draw 22%, Belgium 26%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Italy to win (52%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.92, so there is value too). Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Italy52%fair 1.92 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Belgium26%fair 3.81 · @3.00
Score grid: top six
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Italy to win✗
52%
1.92
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Draw no bet
Italy (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.51
–
Recent results
Italy – last 3
WWW
7 Jun
@ Greece
1–0
W
3 Jun
@ Luxembourg
1–0
W
26 Mar
vs Northern Ireland
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Belgium – last 6
LWDWDD
10 Jul
@ Spain
1–2
L
7 Jul
@ USA
4–1
W
1 Jul
vs Senegal
2–2
D
27 Jun
@ New Zealand
5–1
W
21 Jun
vs Iran
0–0
D
15 Jun
vs Egypt
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Italy and Belgium.
Our pick is Italy to win with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Italy vs Belgium?
On our numbers Italy have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Belgium 26%.
When is Italy vs Belgium?
Italy vs Belgium (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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