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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Riverside v Kingborough Lions: numbers & prediction

Tasmania NPL · Australia · Windsor Park

Riverside

DWLWL
0–3
FT

Kingborough Lions

WWWWW
Riverside 17%Draw 19%Kingborough Lions 64% Expected goals 1.20 – 2.31
64%
Betarazi pick

Kingborough Lions to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultKingborough Lions to win ✓64% · @1.36
Double chanceKingborough Lions or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.45

Riverside vs Kingborough Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

07:45 WAT, Saturday 30 May: Riverside v Kingborough Lions in the Tasmania NPL, played at Windsor Park.

Current form

Riverside, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with South Hobart, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Kingborough Lions, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Clarence Zebras, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Kingborough Lions, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Riverside.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Kingborough Lions 1–0 Riverside.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Riverside 1.2 xG, Kingborough Lions 2.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Riverside 17%, draw 19%, Kingborough Lions 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kingborough Lions to win (64%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Riverside 1–2 Kingborough Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Riverside17%fair 5.75 · @5.40
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @4.80
Kingborough Lions64%fair 1.57 · @1.36
3.51Expected goals
1.20Riverside xG
2.31Kingborough Lions xG
52%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%

From our goals model: Riverside 1.2 – 2.3 Kingborough Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKingborough Lions to win ✓64%1.571.36
Double chanceKingborough Lions or draw ✓83%1.211.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.92–
Draw no betKingborough Lions (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapKingborough Lions -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.951.60
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
First team to scoreKingborough Lions to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultKingborough Lions ahead at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kingborough Lions / FT Kingborough Lions ✗40%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.45–

Recent results

Riverside – last 6

DWLWLW
23 Mayvs South Hobart1–1D
9 Mayvs South East Utd.5–0W
2 May@ Clarence Zebras0–4L
18 Aprvs Launceston United2–0W
11 Aprvs Devonport City0–3L
29 Mar@ Ulverstone3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kingborough Lions – last 6

WWWWWL
23 May@ Clarence Zebras4–0W
9 May@ Launceston United7–1W
2 Mayvs Launceston City2–1W
18 Aprvs Glenorchy Knights3–1W
11 Aprvs Ulverstone5–1W
28 Mar@ Devonport City0–1L
3.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Mar 2026Kingborough Lions v Riverside1–0
Riverside vs Kingborough Lions head-to-head page →

More Tasmania NPL predictions

FT South Hobart4 Launceston United1 189%1.03X8%15.0024%126.00 4.0–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.45 ✓
FT Glenorchy Knights1 Launceston City2 139%2.30X22%3.90239%2.30 1.8–1.7xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 51%@1.65 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Riverside vs Kingborough Lions?

Our pick is Kingborough Lions to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Riverside vs Kingborough Lions?

On our numbers Riverside have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kingborough Lions 64%.

How many goals will there be in Riverside vs Kingborough Lions?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Riverside vs Kingborough Lions?

Our predicted score is Riverside 1–2 Kingborough Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Riverside vs Kingborough Lions?

Riverside vs Kingborough Lions (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 07:45 (West Africa Time) at Windsor Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.