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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

South Hobart v Launceston United: numbers & prediction

Tasmania NPL · Australia · Darcy Street

South Hobart

DWWWW
4–1
FT

Launceston United

LLLLL
South Hobart 89%Draw 8%Launceston United 4% Expected goals 4.04 – 0.93
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 2.45 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
2.45Odds

Picks by market

ResultSouth Hobart to win ✓89% · @1.03
Double chanceSouth Hobart or draw ✓96% · fair 1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.45
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 4–1 ✓7% · fair 13.96

South Hobart vs Launceston United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 30 May the Tasmania NPL brings South Hobart against Launceston United at Darcy Street. Kick-off: 05:00 WAT.

Current form

South Hobart, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Riverside, away. 4.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Launceston United, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Glenorchy Knights, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 4.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours South Hobart, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.0 for Launceston United.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Launceston United 1–5 South Hobart.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give South Hobart 4.0 xG, Launceston United 0.9 xG – a total near 5.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 87% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – South Hobart 89%, draw 8%, Launceston United 4%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.45 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Hobart 4–1 Launceston United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

South Hobart89%fair 1.13 · @1.03
Draw8%fair 13.27 · @15.00
Launceston United4%fair 25.90 · @126.00
4.97Expected goals
4.04South Hobart xG
0.93Launceston United xG
54%Both score
87%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

4–08%
3–08%
4–17%
3–17%
5–06%
5–16%

From our goals model: South Hobart 4.0 – 0.9 Launceston United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Hobart to win ✓89%1.131.03
Double chanceSouth Hobart or draw ✓96%1.04–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.842.45 ▲
Draw no betSouth Hobart (draw no bet) ✓96%1.04–
Asian handicapSouth Hobart -2 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✓55%1.81–
First team to scoreSouth Hobart to score first81%1.24–
Half-time resultSouth Hobart ahead at half-time ✗71%1.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Hobart / FT South Hobart ✗69%1.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 4–1 ✓7%13.96–

Recent results

South Hobart – last 6

DWWWWW
23 May@ Riverside1–1D
9 May@ Launceston City8–1W
2 Mayvs Devonport City3–2W
18 Apr@ Ulverstone6–0W
27 Mar@ Glenorchy Knights2–1W
21 Marvs Kingborough Lions5–1W
4.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Launceston United – last 6

LLLLLL
23 Mayvs Glenorchy Knights0–4L
9 Mayvs Kingborough Lions1–7L
2 Mayvs South East Utd.4–6L
18 Apr@ Riverside0–2L
10 Aprvs Launceston City1–7L
28 Marvs Clarence Zebras0–1L
1.0Scored / game
4.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Mar 2026Launceston United v South Hobart1–5
South Hobart vs Launceston United head-to-head page →

More Tasmania NPL predictions

FT Glenorchy Knights1 Launceston City2 139%2.30X22%3.90239%2.30 1.8–1.7xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 51%@1.65 ✗
FT Riverside0 Kingborough Lions3 117%5.40X19%4.80264%1.36 1.2–2.3xG 2Kingborough Lions to win 64%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for South Hobart vs Launceston United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.45.

Who will win South Hobart vs Launceston United?

On our numbers South Hobart have a 89% chance of winning, the draw 8% and Launceston United 4%.

How many goals will there be in South Hobart vs Launceston United?

We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 87% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for South Hobart vs Launceston United?

Our predicted score is South Hobart 4–1 Launceston United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.

When is South Hobart vs Launceston United?

South Hobart vs Launceston United (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Darcy Street.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.