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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ulverstone v Kingborough Lions: numbers & prediction

Tasmania NPL · Australia · Westside Park

Ulverstone

LLLLL
2–1
FT

Kingborough Lions

WDWWW
Ulverstone 6%Draw 12%Kingborough Lions 82% Expected goals 0.87 – 3.18
94%
Betarazi pick

Kingborough Lions or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.06 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultKingborough Lions to win ✗82% · @1.01
Double chanceKingborough Lions or draw ✗94% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.31

Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

05:30 WAT, Saturday 4 July: Ulverstone v Kingborough Lions in the Tasmania NPL, played at Westside Park.

Current form

Ulverstone, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Riverside, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Kingborough Lions, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Devonport City, at home. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 4.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kingborough Lions, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.0 for Ulverstone.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Apr 2026) it ended Kingborough Lions 5–1 Ulverstone.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ulverstone 0.9 xG, Kingborough Lions 3.2 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ulverstone 6%, draw 12%, Kingborough Lions 82%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kingborough Lions or draw (94%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulverstone 0–3 Kingborough Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ulverstone6%fair 17.36 · @46.00
Draw12%fair 8.31 · @9.40
Kingborough Lions82%fair 1.22 · @1.01
4.05Expected goals
0.87Ulverstone xG
3.18Kingborough Lions xG
52%Both score
77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–39%
0–29%
1–38%
1–28%
0–47%
1–46%

From our goals model: Ulverstone 0.9 – 3.2 Kingborough Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKingborough Lions to win ✗82%1.221.01
Double chanceKingborough Lions or draw ✗94%1.06–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Draw no betKingborough Lions (draw no bet) ✗93%1.07–
Asian handicapKingborough Lions -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗58%1.74–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
First team to scoreKingborough Lions to score first77%1.30–
Half-time resultKingborough Lions ahead at half-time ✗63%1.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kingborough Lions / FT Kingborough Lions ✗59%1.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8%12.31–

Recent results

Ulverstone – last 6

LLLLLL
27 Jun@ Riverside0–6L
20 Jun@ Launceston United2–3L
14 Junvs Launceston City1–3L
30 May@ Devonport City0–1L
23 May@ South East Utd.0–2L
10 Mayvs Clarence Zebras0–4L
0.5Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kingborough Lions – last 6

WDWWWW
28 Junvs Devonport City2–1W
21 Junvs South Hobart1–1D
14 Jun@ South East Utd.9–0W
30 May@ Riverside3–0W
23 May@ Clarence Zebras4–0W
9 May@ Launceston United7–1W
4.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Apr 2026Kingborough Lions v Ulverstone5–1
Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions head-to-head page →

More Tasmania NPL predictions

FT Devonport City4 Riverside1 169%1.35X19%4.60212%6.20 2.7–1.1xG 1Devonport City to win 69%@1.35 ✓
FT Glenorchy Knights2 Clarence Zebras2 139%2.33X23%3.85238%2.33 1.4–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 57%@1.90 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions?

Our pick is Kingborough Lions or draw with a 94% chance.

Who will win Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions?

On our numbers Ulverstone have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Kingborough Lions 82%.

How many goals will there be in Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions?

Our predicted score is Ulverstone 0–3 Kingborough Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions?

Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time) at Westside Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.