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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Glenorchy Knights v Clarence Zebras: numbers & prediction

Tasmania NPL · Australia · KGV Park

Glenorchy Knights

LLDLW
2–2
FT

Clarence Zebras

DDLWL
Glenorchy Knights 39%Draw 23%Clarence Zebras 38% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.45
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.90Odds

Picks by market

ResultGlenorchy Knights to win ✗39% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95

Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 4 July the Tasmania NPL brings Glenorchy Knights against Clarence Zebras at KGV Park. Kick-off: 07:45 WAT.

Current form

Glenorchy Knights, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to South Hobart, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Clarence Zebras, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Launceston United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Clarence Zebras, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Glenorchy Knights.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Apr 2026) it ended Clarence Zebras 2–0 Glenorchy Knights.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Glenorchy Knights 1.4 xG, Clarence Zebras 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Glenorchy Knights 39%, draw 23%, Clarence Zebras 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (57%, odds 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Glenorchy Knights 1–1 Clarence Zebras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Glenorchy Knights39%fair 2.57 · @2.33
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.85
Clarence Zebras38%fair 2.65 · @2.33
2.89Expected goals
1.44Glenorchy Knights xG
1.45Clarence Zebras xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Glenorchy Knights 1.4 – 1.4 Clarence Zebras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGlenorchy Knights to win ✗39%2.572.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.90–
Draw no betGlenorchy Knights (draw no bet)51%1.97–
Asian handicapGlenorchy Knights +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.81–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.741.90 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreClarence Zebras to score first47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Clarence Zebras / FT Clarence Zebras ✗22%4.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.95–

Recent results

Glenorchy Knights – last 6

LLDLWL
27 Jun@ South Hobart1–6L
20 Jun@ South East Utd.0–1L
13 Junvs Riverside1–1D
30 Mayvs Launceston City1–2L
23 May@ Launceston United4–0W
9 May@ Devonport City1–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Clarence Zebras – last 6

DDLWLW
27 Junvs Launceston United1–1D
20 Jun@ Devonport City2–2D
13 Junvs South Hobart1–3L
31 Mayvs South East Utd.2–1W
23 Mayvs Kingborough Lions0–4L
10 May@ Ulverstone4–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Apr 2026Clarence Zebras v Glenorchy Knights2–0
Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras head-to-head page →

More Tasmania NPL predictions

FT Devonport City4 Riverside1 169%1.35X19%4.60212%6.20 2.7–1.1xG 1Devonport City to win 69%@1.35 ✓
FT Ulverstone2 Kingborough Lions1 16%46.00X12%9.40282%1.01 0.9–3.2xG X2Kingborough Lions or draw 94% ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras?

On our numbers Glenorchy Knights have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Clarence Zebras 38%.

How many goals will there be in Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras?

Our predicted score is Glenorchy Knights 1–1 Clarence Zebras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras?

Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 07:45 (West Africa Time) at KGV Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.