Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultRiga Mariners to win ✗47% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Leevon PPK vs Riga Mariners: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 18 July: Leevon PPK v Riga Mariners in the 1. Liga. In the table, Leevon PPK are 4th, among the top four, on 54 points after 26 matches; Riga Mariners are 3rd (among the top four) with 59.
Current form
Leevon PPK, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Riga, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Riga Mariners, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with BFC Daugavpils, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Riga Mariners, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Leevon PPK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leevon PPK 1.6 xG, Riga Mariners 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leevon PPK 32%, draw 22%, Riga Mariners 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leevon PPK 1–2 Riga Mariners. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leevon PPK32%fair 3.15 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @4.00
Riga Mariners47%fair 2.14 · @1.83
3.28Expected goals
1.57Leevon PPK xG
1.71Riga Mariners xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Leevon PPK 1.6 – 1.7 Riga Mariners expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Riga Mariners to win✗
47%
2.14
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Riga Mariners (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Leevon PPK +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
First team to score
Riga Mariners to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Riga Mariners / FT Riga Mariners✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Leevon PPK – last 6
LLLWDW
10 Jul
vs Riga
2–3
L
5 Jul
@ Valmiera BSS
1–4
L
28 Jun
vs Metta LU
1–3
L
20 Jun
@ JFK Ventspils
3–1
W
13 Jun
@ JDFS Alberts
0–0
D
29 May
@ DSVK Traktors
5–3
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Riga Mariners – last 6
DWWWWD
11 Jul
vs BFC Daugavpils
3–3
D
4 Jul
@ JDFS Alberts
4–0
W
27 Jun
vs Mārupe
2–0
W
20 Jun
vs JDFS Alberts
1–0
W
14 Jun
@ Skanste
2–0
W
2 May
@ Rēzekne FA
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leevon PPK and Riga Mariners.
What is the prediction for Leevon PPK vs Riga Mariners?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Leevon PPK vs Riga Mariners?
On our numbers Leevon PPK have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Riga Mariners 47%.
How many goals will there be in Leevon PPK vs Riga Mariners?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leevon PPK vs Riga Mariners?
Our predicted score is Leevon PPK 1–2 Riga Mariners, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Leevon PPK vs Riga Mariners?
Leevon PPK vs Riga Mariners (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
