Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Mārupe vs Metta LU: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 18 July the 1. Liga brings Mārupe against Metta LU. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Mārupe are 7th, upper half, on 34 points after 26 matches; Metta LU are 1st (leading the league) with 69. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mārupe, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Grobiņa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Metta LU, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Spēks, at home. Scoring is no problem – 4.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours Metta LU, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for Mārupe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mārupe 0.9 xG, Metta LU 2.9 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 49% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mārupe 10%, draw 15%, Metta LU 76%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Metta LU to win (76%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mārupe 0–2 Metta LU. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mārupe10%fair 10.38 · @7.00
Draw15%fair 6.84 · @5.50
Metta LU76%fair 1.32 · @1.27
3.82Expected goals
0.88Mārupe xG
2.93Metta LU xG
49%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–29%
0–39%
1–28%
1–38%
0–47%
0–16%
From our goals model: Mārupe 0.9 – 2.9 Metta LU expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metta LU to win✓
76%
1.32
1.27
Double chance
Metta LU or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Metta LU (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Metta LU -1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
–
First team to score
Metta LU to score first✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Metta LU ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metta LU / FT Metta LU✓
56%
1.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Mārupe – last 6
LWLDLL
12 Jul
vs Grobiņa
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs Smiltene
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Riga Mariners
0–2
L
19 Jun
vs Aliance
2–2
D
14 Jun
vs JFK Ventspils
1–2
L
23 May
vs Rīgas FS II
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Metta LU – last 6
WWWWWW
10 Jul
vs Spēks
3–1
W
4 Jul
vs Skanste
3–1
W
28 Jun
@ Leevon PPK
3–1
W
20 Jun
vs Ķekava Auda
5–0
W
13 Jun
vs Super Nova 2
7–3
W
31 May
@ Lielupe
6–0
W
4.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mārupe and Metta LU.
Our pick is Metta LU to win with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Mārupe vs Metta LU?
On our numbers Mārupe have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Metta LU 76%.
How many goals will there be in Mārupe vs Metta LU?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mārupe vs Metta LU?
Our predicted score is Mārupe 0–2 Metta LU, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Mārupe vs Metta LU?
Mārupe vs Metta LU (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
