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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Valmiera BSS v Rīgas FS II: numbers & prediction

1. Liga · Latvia
2–1
FT
Valmiera BSS 77%Draw 13%Rīgas FS II 10% Expected goals 3.06 – 1.07
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultValmiera BSS to win ✓77% · @1.18
Double chanceValmiera BSS or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.17

Valmiera BSS vs Rīgas FS II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 1 August the 1. Liga brings Valmiera BSS against Rīgas FS II. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Valmiera BSS are 2nd, among the top four, on 60 points after 26 matches; Rīgas FS II are 11th (lower half) with 24. There are 36 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Valmiera BSS, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Riga FC II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Rīgas FS II, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 5–3 win over Smiltene, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Valmiera BSS, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Rīgas FS II.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Rīgas FS II 1–5 Valmiera BSS.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Valmiera BSS 3.1 xG, Rīgas FS II 1.1 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Valmiera BSS 77%, draw 13%, Rīgas FS II 10%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valmiera BSS 3–1 Rīgas FS II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Valmiera BSS77%fair 1.30 · @1.18
Draw13%fair 7.84 · @7.00
Rīgas FS II10%fair 9.72 · @8.00
4.13Expected goals
3.06Valmiera BSS xG
1.07Rīgas FS II xG
53%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%
2–18%
3–08%
2–08%
4–16%
4–06%

From our goals model: Valmiera BSS 3.1 – 1.1 Rīgas FS II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValmiera BSS to win ✓77%1.301.18
Double chanceValmiera BSS or draw ✓90%1.111.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betValmiera BSS (draw no bet) ✓88%1.13–
Asian handicapValmiera BSS -1 (Asian handicap)72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.321.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓60%1.66–
First team to scoreValmiera BSS to score first73%1.37–
Half-time resultValmiera BSS ahead at half-time ✓59%1.70–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valmiera BSS / FT Valmiera BSS ✓54%1.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8%12.17–

Recent results

Valmiera BSS – last 6

WWDWWW
27 Julvs Riga FC II3–0W
18 Jul@ Skanste3–0W
12 Julvs Ogre United2–2D
5 Julvs Leevon PPK4–1W
28 Jun@ JFK Ventspils2–0W
22 Jun@ Smiltene4–1W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Rīgas FS II – last 6

WLDLWW
25 Jul@ Smiltene5–3W
20 Jul@ Tukums II0–2L
5 Julvs Super Nova 21–1D
27 Junvs Riga FC II1–3L
14 Junvs Rēzekne FA3–0W
23 May@ Mārupe4–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Rīgas FS II v Valmiera BSS1–5
Valmiera BSS vs Rīgas FS II head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

More 1. Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valmiera BSS vs Rīgas FS II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Valmiera BSS vs Rīgas FS II?

On our numbers Valmiera BSS have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Rīgas FS II 10%.

How many goals will there be in Valmiera BSS vs Rīgas FS II?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valmiera BSS vs Rīgas FS II?

Our predicted score is Valmiera BSS 3–1 Rīgas FS II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Valmiera BSS vs Rīgas FS II?

Valmiera BSS vs Rīgas FS II (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.