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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Skanste v Mārupe: numbers & prediction

1. Liga · Latvia

Skanste

LLLLW
4–2
FT

Mārupe

WLLWL
Skanste 42%Draw 22%Mārupe 36% Expected goals 1.83 – 1.51
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultSkanste to win ✓42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15

Skanste vs Mārupe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Skanste welcome Mārupe for a 1. Liga fixture on Saturday 1 August (13:00 WAT). In the table, Skanste are 10th, lower half, on 26 points after 26 matches; Mārupe are 7th (upper half) with 34.

Current form

Skanste, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Leevon PPK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Mārupe, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rēzekne FA, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Mārupe, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Skanste.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Mārupe 4–0 Skanste.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Skanste 1.8 xG, Mārupe 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Skanste 42%, draw 22%, Mārupe 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Skanste 2–1 Mārupe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Skanste42%fair 2.40 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.75
Mārupe36%fair 2.75 · @2.25
3.34Expected goals
1.83Skanste xG
1.51Mārupe xG
55%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–07%
2–06%

From our goals model: Skanste 1.8 – 1.5 Mārupe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSkanste to win ✓42%2.402.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.83–
Draw no betSkanste (draw no bet) ✓53%1.87–
Asian handicapMārupe +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.75–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
First team to scoreSkanste to score first53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.70–
Half-time / full-timeHT Skanste / FT Skanste ✓28%3.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.15–

Recent results

Skanste – last 6

LLLLWL
25 Jul@ Leevon PPK1–2L
18 Julvs Valmiera BSS0–3L
11 Julvs JFK Ventspils0–3L
4 Jul@ Metta LU1–3L
28 Jun@ Smiltene4–2W
14 Junvs Riga Mariners0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Mārupe – last 6

WLLWLD
25 Jul@ Rēzekne FA2–1W
18 Julvs Metta LU0–4L
12 Julvs Grobiņa0–1L
4 Julvs Smiltene2–1W
27 Jun@ Riga Mariners0–2L
19 Junvs Aliance2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Mārupe v Skanste4–0
Skanste vs Mārupe head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

More 1. Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Skanste vs Mārupe?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Skanste vs Mārupe?

On our numbers Skanste have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mārupe 36%.

How many goals will there be in Skanste vs Mārupe?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Skanste vs Mārupe?

Our predicted score is Skanste 2–1 Mārupe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Skanste vs Mārupe?

Skanste vs Mārupe (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.