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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Riga Mariners v Rīgas FS II: numbers & prediction

1. Liga · Latvia
3–1
FT
Riga Mariners 74%Draw 15%Rīgas FS II 11% Expected goals 2.77 – 1.01
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultRiga Mariners to win ✓74% · @1.12
Double chanceRiga Mariners or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31

Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 29 August the 1. Liga brings Riga Mariners against Rīgas FS II. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Riga Mariners are 3rd, among the top four, on 59 points after 26 matches; Rīgas FS II are 11th (lower half) with 24. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Riga Mariners, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Riga FC II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Rīgas FS II, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to JDFS Alberts, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 3.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Riga Mariners, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Rīgas FS II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Riga Mariners 2.8 xG, Rīgas FS II 1.0 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Riga Mariners 74%, draw 15%, Rīgas FS II 11%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Riga Mariners 2–1 Rīgas FS II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Riga Mariners74%fair 1.36 · @1.12
Draw15%fair 6.53 · @8.50
Rīgas FS II11%fair 9.19 · @13.00
3.79Expected goals
2.77Riga Mariners xG
1.01Rīgas FS II xG
53%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Riga Mariners 2.8 – 1.0 Rīgas FS II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRiga Mariners to win ✓74%1.361.12
Double chanceRiga Mariners or draw ✓89%1.121.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betRiga Mariners (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapRiga Mariners -1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
First team to scoreRiga Mariners to score first ✓72%1.40–
Half-time resultRiga Mariners ahead at half-time ✓56%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Riga Mariners / FT Riga Mariners ✓51%1.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.31–

Recent results

Riga Mariners – last 6

WWWDLD
24 Aug@ Riga FC II3–1W
9 Augvs Tukums II4–2W
31 Jul@ Super Nova 23–0W
25 Julvs JFK Ventspils1–1D
18 Jul@ Leevon PPK1–2L
11 Julvs BFC Daugavpils3–3D
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Rīgas FS II – last 6

LLLWLD
22 Augvs JDFS Alberts1–3L
8 Aug@ Metta LU1–12L
1 Aug@ Valmiera BSS1–2L
25 Jul@ Smiltene5–3W
20 Jul@ Tukums II0–2L
5 Julvs Super Nova 21–1D
1.5Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Riga Mariners and Rīgas FS II.

Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

More 1. Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II?

On our numbers Riga Mariners have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Rīgas FS II 11%.

How many goals will there be in Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II?

Our predicted score is Riga Mariners 2–1 Rīgas FS II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II?

Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.