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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mārupe v JDFS Alberts: numbers & prediction

1. Liga · Latvia

Mārupe

LWLLW
0–2
FT
Mārupe 22%Draw 14%JDFS Alberts 64% Expected goals 1.11 – 2.15
64%
Betarazi pick

JDFS Alberts to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultJDFS Alberts to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15

Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 29 August the 1. Liga brings Mārupe against JDFS Alberts. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Mārupe are 7th, upper half, on 34 points after 26 matches; JDFS Alberts are 5th (upper half) with 47. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Mārupe, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Valmiera BSS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

JDFS Alberts, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Rīgas FS II, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours JDFS Alberts, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Mārupe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mārupe 1.1 xG, JDFS Alberts 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mārupe 22%, draw 14%, JDFS Alberts 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was JDFS Alberts to win (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mārupe 1–2 JDFS Alberts. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mārupe22%fair 4.57 · @3.90
Draw14%fair 7.31 · @4.10
JDFS Alberts64%fair 1.55 · @1.62
3.26Expected goals
1.11Mārupe xG
2.15JDFS Alberts xG
53%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Mārupe 1.1 – 2.2 JDFS Alberts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJDFS Alberts to win ✓64%1.551.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.16–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.90–
Draw no betJDFS Alberts (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapJDFS Alberts -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreJDFS Alberts to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultJDFS Alberts ahead at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT JDFS Alberts / FT JDFS Alberts ✓39%2.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.15–

Recent results

Mārupe – last 6

LWLLWL
22 Aug@ Valmiera BSS1–4L
15 Augvs Super Nova 22–1W
8 Augvs Leevon PPK0–1L
1 Aug@ Skanste2–4L
25 Jul@ Rēzekne FA2–1W
18 Julvs Metta LU0–4L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

JDFS Alberts – last 6

WWDDWL
22 Aug@ Rīgas FS II3–1W
8 Augvs Riga FC II2–0W
3 Aug@ Tukums II1–1D
25 Julvs Super Nova 21–1D
18 Jul@ JFK Ventspils3–1W
4 Julvs Riga Mariners0–4L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mārupe and JDFS Alberts.

Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

More 1. Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts?

Our pick is JDFS Alberts to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts?

On our numbers Mārupe have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 14% and JDFS Alberts 64%.

How many goals will there be in Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts?

Our predicted score is Mārupe 1–2 JDFS Alberts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts?

Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.