Mārupe 22%Draw 14%JDFS Alberts 64%Expected goals 1.11 – 2.15
64%
Betarazi pick
JDFS Alberts to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultJDFS Alberts to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the 1. Liga brings Mārupe against JDFS Alberts. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Mārupe are 7th, upper half, on 34 points after 26 matches; JDFS Alberts are 5th (upper half) with 47. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mārupe, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Valmiera BSS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
JDFS Alberts, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Rīgas FS II, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours JDFS Alberts, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Mārupe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mārupe 1.1 xG, JDFS Alberts 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mārupe 22%, draw 14%, JDFS Alberts 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was JDFS Alberts to win (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mārupe 1–2 JDFS Alberts. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mārupe22%fair 4.57 · @3.90
Draw14%fair 7.31 · @4.10
JDFS Alberts64%fair 1.55 · @1.62
3.26Expected goals
1.11Mārupe xG
2.15JDFS Alberts xG
53%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Mārupe 1.1 – 2.2 JDFS Alberts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
JDFS Alberts to win✓
64%
1.55
1.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
JDFS Alberts (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
JDFS Alberts -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
JDFS Alberts to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
JDFS Alberts ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT JDFS Alberts / FT JDFS Alberts✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Mārupe – last 6
LWLLWL
22 Aug
@ Valmiera BSS
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Super Nova 2
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Leevon PPK
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Skanste
2–4
L
25 Jul
@ Rēzekne FA
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Metta LU
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
JDFS Alberts – last 6
WWDDWL
22 Aug
@ Rīgas FS II
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Riga FC II
2–0
W
3 Aug
@ Tukums II
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Super Nova 2
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ JFK Ventspils
3–1
W
4 Jul
vs Riga Mariners
0–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mārupe and JDFS Alberts.
What is the prediction for Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts?
Our pick is JDFS Alberts to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts?
On our numbers Mārupe have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 14% and JDFS Alberts 64%.
How many goals will there be in Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts?
Our predicted score is Mārupe 1–2 JDFS Alberts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts?
Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.