Valmiera BSS 24%Draw 16%Metta LU 60%Expected goals 1.74 – 2.73
60%
Betarazi pick
Metta LU to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultMetta LU to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.47
Valmiera BSS vs Metta LU: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Valmiera BSS v Metta LU in the 1. Liga. In the table, Valmiera BSS are 2nd, among the top four, on 60 points after 26 matches; Metta LU are 1st (leading the league) with 69.
Current form
Valmiera BSS, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Rēzekne FA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Metta LU, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Smiltene, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 5.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Valmiera BSS, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Metta LU.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valmiera BSS 1.7 xG, Metta LU 2.7 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 82% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valmiera BSS 24%, draw 16%, Metta LU 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Metta LU to win (60%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valmiera BSS 1–2 Metta LU. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valmiera BSS24%fair 4.10 · @3.40
Draw16%fair 6.24 · @3.60
Metta LU60%fair 1.68 · @1.80
4.47Expected goals
1.74Valmiera BSS xG
2.73Metta LU xG
60%Both score
82%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–15%
2–15%
From our goals model: Valmiera BSS 1.7 – 2.7 Metta LU expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metta LU to win✗
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Draw no bet
Metta LU (draw no bet)
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Valmiera BSS +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
First team to score
Metta LU to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Metta LU ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metta LU / FT Metta LU✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.47
–
Recent results
Valmiera BSS – last 6
WWWWWW
30 Aug
@ Rēzekne FA
6–1
W
22 Aug
vs Mārupe
4–1
W
8 Aug
@ Smiltene
4–1
W
1 Aug
vs Rīgas FS II
2–1
W
27 Jul
vs Riga FC II
3–0
W
18 Jul
@ Skanste
3–0
W
3.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Metta LU – last 6
WWLWDW
29 Aug
@ Smiltene
6–0
W
23 Aug
@ Rēzekne FA
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Riga
1–4
L
8 Aug
vs Rīgas FS II
12–1
W
1 Aug
@ Riga FC II
2–2
D
27 Jul
vs Tukums II
9–0
W
5.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valmiera BSS and Metta LU.
What is the prediction for Valmiera BSS vs Metta LU?
Our pick is Metta LU to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Valmiera BSS vs Metta LU?
On our numbers Valmiera BSS have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Metta LU 60%.
How many goals will there be in Valmiera BSS vs Metta LU?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valmiera BSS vs Metta LU?
Our predicted score is Valmiera BSS 1–2 Metta LU, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Valmiera BSS vs Metta LU?
Valmiera BSS vs Metta LU (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
