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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Riga Mariners v Rēzekne FA: numbers & prediction

1. Liga · Latvia
5–0
FT
Riga Mariners 76%Draw 13%Rēzekne FA 12% Expected goals 2.77 – 0.98
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultRiga Mariners to win ✓76% · @1.07
Double chanceRiga Mariners or draw ✓88% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31

Riga Mariners vs Rēzekne FA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 5 September the 1. Liga brings Riga Mariners against Rēzekne FA. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Riga Mariners are 3rd, among the top four, on 59 points after 26 matches; Rēzekne FA are 14th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 53 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Riga Mariners, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Rīgas FS II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Rēzekne FA, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Valmiera BSS, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Riga Mariners, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.0 for Rēzekne FA.

Head to head

When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Rēzekne FA 2–2 Riga Mariners.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Riga Mariners 2.8 xG, Rēzekne FA 1.0 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Riga Mariners 76%, draw 13%, Rēzekne FA 12%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Riga Mariners 2–1 Rēzekne FA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Riga Mariners76%fair 1.32 · @1.07
Draw13%fair 7.78 · @12.00
Rēzekne FA12%fair 8.65 · @19.00
3.75Expected goals
2.77Riga Mariners xG
0.98Rēzekne FA xG
52%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–16%

From our goals model: Riga Mariners 2.8 – 1.0 Rēzekne FA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRiga Mariners to win ✓76%1.321.07
Double chanceRiga Mariners or draw ✓88%1.13–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Draw no betRiga Mariners (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapRiga Mariners -1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.341.22
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.94–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗68%1.48–
First team to scoreRiga Mariners to score first ✓72%1.39–
Half-time resultRiga Mariners ahead at half-time ✓56%1.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Riga Mariners / FT Riga Mariners ✓52%1.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.31–

Recent results

Riga Mariners – last 6

WWWWDL
29 Augvs Rīgas FS II3–1W
24 Aug@ Riga FC II3–1W
9 Augvs Tukums II4–2W
31 Jul@ Super Nova 23–0W
25 Julvs JFK Ventspils1–1D
18 Jul@ Leevon PPK1–2L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Rēzekne FA – last 6

LLLLLL
30 Augvs Valmiera BSS1–6L
23 Augvs Metta LU0–2L
8 Aug@ Skanste1–5L
1 Aug@ Leevon PPK1–2L
25 Julvs Mārupe1–2L
19 Jul@ Smiltene0–1L
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Rēzekne FA v Riga Mariners2–2
Riga Mariners vs Rēzekne FA head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

More 1. Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Riga Mariners vs Rēzekne FA?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Riga Mariners vs Rēzekne FA?

On our numbers Riga Mariners have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Rēzekne FA 12%.

How many goals will there be in Riga Mariners vs Rēzekne FA?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Riga Mariners vs Rēzekne FA?

Our predicted score is Riga Mariners 2–1 Rēzekne FA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Riga Mariners vs Rēzekne FA?

Riga Mariners vs Rēzekne FA (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.