Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Valmiera BSS to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultValmiera BSS to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Valmiera BSS vs Riga Mariners: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the 1. Liga brings Valmiera BSS against Riga Mariners. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Valmiera BSS are 2nd, among the top four, on 60 points after 26 matches; Riga Mariners are 3rd (among the top four) with 59. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Valmiera BSS, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over JDFS Alberts, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.
Riga Mariners, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Smiltene, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valmiera BSS 2.2 xG, Riga Mariners 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valmiera BSS 60%, draw 17%, Riga Mariners 23%.
Price worth noting: Valmiera BSS to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valmiera BSS 2–1 Riga Mariners. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valmiera BSS60%fair 1.65 · @1.83
Draw17%fair 6.00 · @4.00
Riga Mariners23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
3.46Expected goals
2.20Valmiera BSS xG
1.26Riga Mariners xG
56%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Valmiera BSS 2.2 – 1.3 Riga Mariners expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valmiera BSS to win✗
60%
1.65
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Valmiera BSS (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Riga Mariners +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
First team to score
Valmiera BSS to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Valmiera BSS ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valmiera BSS / FT Valmiera BSS✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Valmiera BSS – last 6
WDWWWW
12 Sep
@ JDFS Alberts
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Metta LU
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Rēzekne FA
6–1
W
22 Aug
vs Mārupe
4–1
W
8 Aug
@ Smiltene
4–1
W
1 Aug
vs Rīgas FS II
2–1
W
3.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Riga Mariners – last 6
LWWWWW
12 Sep
@ Smiltene
1–4
L
5 Sep
vs Rēzekne FA
5–0
W
29 Aug
vs Rīgas FS II
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Riga FC II
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Tukums II
4–2
W
31 Jul
@ Super Nova 2
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valmiera BSS and Riga Mariners.
What is the prediction for Valmiera BSS vs Riga Mariners?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Valmiera BSS vs Riga Mariners?
On our numbers Valmiera BSS have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Riga Mariners 23%.
How many goals will there be in Valmiera BSS vs Riga Mariners?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valmiera BSS vs Riga Mariners?
Our predicted score is Valmiera BSS 2–1 Riga Mariners, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Valmiera BSS vs Riga Mariners?
Valmiera BSS vs Riga Mariners (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
