Super Nova 2 61%Draw 17%Smiltene 22%Expected goals 2.18 – 1.20
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Super Nova 2 to win @ 1.73 – our chance 61% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSuper Nova 2 to win ✗61% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Super Nova 2 vs Smiltene: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Super Nova 2 v Smiltene in the 1. Liga, played at Sporta centrs Krasts. In the table, Super Nova 2 are 8th, lower half, on 29 points after 26 matches; Smiltene are 9th (lower half) with 27. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Super Nova 2, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Rēzekne FA, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Smiltene, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Riga Mariners, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Smiltene 0–2 Super Nova 2.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Super Nova 2 2.2 xG, Smiltene 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Super Nova 2 61%, draw 17%, Smiltene 22%.
Price worth noting: Super Nova 2 to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Super Nova 2 2–1 Smiltene. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Super Nova 261%fair 1.63 · @1.73
Draw17%fair 5.99 · @4.00
Smiltene22%fair 4.55 · @3.50
3.39Expected goals
2.18Super Nova 2 xG
1.20Smiltene xG
52%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Super Nova 2 2.2 – 1.2 Smiltene expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Super Nova 2 vs Smiltene?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Super Nova 2 vs Smiltene?
On our numbers Super Nova 2 have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Smiltene 22%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova 2 vs Smiltene?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova 2 vs Smiltene?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 2 2–1 Smiltene, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Super Nova 2 vs Smiltene?
Super Nova 2 vs Smiltene (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sporta centrs Krasts.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
