Minija vs Dainava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 9 May the 1 Lyga brings Minija against Dainava at Kretinga Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Minija are 1st, leading the league, on 74 points after 30 matches; Dainava are 7th (upper half) with 48. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Minija, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 7–1 win over Transinvest 2, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Dainava, last 4: DDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Žalgiris II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Minija, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.5 for Dainava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Minija 2.1 xG, Dainava 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Minija 63%, draw 22%, Dainava 14%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Minija 2–0 Dainava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Minija63%fair 1.58 · @1.47
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.00
Dainava14%fair 7.08 · @5.40
3.00Expected goals
2.09Minija xG
0.91Dainava xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Minija 2.1 – 0.9 Dainava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Minija
Dainava
Attack vs 1 Lyga average
+57%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
-28%
Our expected goals here
1.91
0.83
Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Minija to win✓
63%
1.58
1.47
Double chance
Minija or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Draw no bet
Minija (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Minija -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.13
First team to score
Minija to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Minija ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Minija / FT Minija✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Minija – last 5
WWWWW
3 May
@ Transinvest 2
7–1
W
19 Apr
@ Kauno Žalgiris II
4–0
W
4 Apr
vs Ekranas
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Be1 NFA
3–2
W
18 Mar
vs Hegelmann II
3–0
W
3.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Dainava – last 4
DDLL
24 Apr
@ Žalgiris II
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ BFA
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Tauras
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Babrungas
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Minija and Dainava.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Minija vs Dainava?
On our numbers Minija have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dainava 14%.
How many goals will there be in Minija vs Dainava?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Minija vs Dainava?
Our predicted score is Minija 2–0 Dainava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Minija vs Dainava?
Minija vs Dainava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Kretinga Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
