Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.41Odds
2
Value bet: Babrungas to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBabrungas to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Atmosfera vs Babrungas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Babrungas travel to face Atmosfera on Saturday 9 May in the 1 Lyga – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Atmosfera are 9th, lower half, on 41 points after 30 matches; Babrungas are 2nd (among the top four) with 74. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atmosfera, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tauras, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Babrungas, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over BFA, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Babrungas, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Atmosfera.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atmosfera 1.2 xG, Babrungas 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atmosfera 33%, draw 26%, Babrungas 41%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.54.
Price worth noting: Babrungas to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atmosfera 1–1 Babrungas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atmosfera33%fair 2.99 · @2.12
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.35
Babrungas41%fair 2.44 · @2.90
2.72Expected goals
1.22Atmosfera xG
1.50Babrungas xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Atmosfera 1.2 – 1.5 Babrungas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atmosfera
Babrungas
Attack vs 1 Lyga average
+8%
+21%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
-45%
Our expected goals here
1.00
1.40
Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Babrungas to win✗
41%
2.44
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.54
Draw no bet
Babrungas (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Atmosfera +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
First team to score
Babrungas to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Babrungas / FT Babrungas✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Atmosfera – last 5
LWLWW
2 May
@ Tauras
0–2
L
21 Apr
vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Transinvest 2
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Kauno Žalgiris II
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Hegelmann II
3–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Babrungas – last 6
WLWWWW
1 May
vs BFA
4–0
W
28 Apr
@ BFA
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Garliava
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Neptūną Klaipėda
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Dainava
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Transinvest 2
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atmosfera and Babrungas.
What is the prediction for Atmosfera vs Babrungas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Atmosfera vs Babrungas?
On our numbers Atmosfera have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Babrungas 41%.
How many goals will there be in Atmosfera vs Babrungas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atmosfera vs Babrungas?
Our predicted score is Atmosfera 1–1 Babrungas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Atmosfera vs Babrungas?
Atmosfera vs Babrungas (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
