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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Minija v BFA: numbers & prediction

1 Lyga · Lithuania · Kretinga Stadium

Minija

DWDWW
3–0
FT

BFA

WWWLW
Minija 67%Draw 19%BFA 14% Expected goals 2.28 – 0.97
67%
Betarazi pick

Minija to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.27Odds

Picks by market

ResultMinija to win ✓67% · @1.27
Double chanceMinija or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Minija vs BFA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 13 June the 1 Lyga brings Minija against BFA at Kretinga Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Minija are 1st, leading the league, on 74 points after 30 matches; BFA are 6th (upper half) with 50. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Minija, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Jonava, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

BFA, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jonava, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Minija 2.3 xG, BFA 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Minija 67%, draw 19%, BFA 14%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Minija to win (67%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Minija 2–0 BFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Minija67%fair 1.48 · @1.27
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @5.00
BFA14%fair 7.36 · @7.50
3.26Expected goals
2.28Minija xG
0.97BFA xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Minija 2.3 – 1.0 BFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MinijaBFA
Attack vs 1 Lyga average+57%+13%
Goals conceded vs average-32%-14%
Our expected goals here2.281.03

Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMinija to win ✓67%1.481.27
Double chanceMinija or draw ✓86%1.161.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.92–
Draw no betMinija (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapMinija -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreMinija to score first ✓67%1.48–
Half-time resultMinija ahead at half-time ✓49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Minija / FT Minija ✓44%2.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

Minija – last 6

DWDWWW
7 Jun@ Jonava0–0D
23 Mayvs Tauras2–1W
19 May@ Pempininkai Gargždai1–1D
9 Mayvs Dainava3–1W
3 May@ Transinvest 27–1W
19 Apr@ Kauno Žalgiris II4–0W
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

BFA – last 6

WWWLWW
30 Mayvs Jonava1–0W
22 May@ Žalgiris II4–3W
19 Mayvs Garliava2–1W
1 May@ Babrungas0–4L
28 Aprvs Babrungas1–0W
17 Apr@ Neptūną Klaipėda3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Minija and BFA.

Minija vs BFA head-to-head page →

1 Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Minija302424+5774
2Babrungas302352+4274
3Be1 NFA301857+2059
4Žalgiris II301659+953
5Tauras301569+1451
6BFA3015510+550
7Dainava301398+1548
8Neptūną Klaipėda3014313-445
9Atmosfera3011811+1041
10Jonava308814-732
11Garliava308616-530
12Kauno Žalgiris II309219-2329
13Transinvest 2308517-2829
14Hegelmann II308418-2928
15FA Šiauliai II304620-3818
16Ekranas305322-3818

More 1 Lyga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Minija vs BFA?

Our pick is Minija to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win Minija vs BFA?

On our numbers Minija have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and BFA 14%.

How many goals will there be in Minija vs BFA?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Minija vs BFA?

Our predicted score is Minija 2–0 BFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Minija vs BFA?

Minija vs BFA (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kretinga Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.