Value bet: Žalgiris II to win @ 3.20 – our chance 39% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultŽalgiris II to win ✓39% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.57
Žalgiris II vs Garliava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 13 June: Žalgiris II v Garliava in the 1 Lyga. In the table, Žalgiris II are 4th, among the top four, on 53 points after 30 matches; Garliava are 11th (lower half) with 30. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Žalgiris II, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atmosfera, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Garliava, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dainava, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Garliava, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Žalgiris II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Žalgiris II 1.6 xG, Garliava 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Žalgiris II 39%, draw 22%, Garliava 39%.
Price worth noting: Žalgiris II to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Žalgiris II 2–1 Garliava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Žalgiris II39%fair 2.53 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.75
Garliava39%fair 2.57 · @1.85
2.83Expected goals
1.65Žalgiris II xG
1.19Garliava xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Žalgiris II 1.6 – 1.2 Garliava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Žalgiris II
Garliava
Attack vs 1 Lyga average
+14%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.93
0.83
Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Žalgiris II to win✓
39%
2.53
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Žalgiris II (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Garliava +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Žalgiris II to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Žalgiris II / FT Žalgiris II✓
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Žalgiris II – last 6
LLDLDD
30 May
@ Atmosfera
0–2
L
22 May
vs BFA
3–4
L
8 May
vs Tauras
2–2
D
2 May
@ Neptūną Klaipėda
1–2
L
24 Apr
vs Dainava
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Transinvest 2
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Garliava – last 6
LDDLWW
8 Jun
@ Dainava
0–1
L
29 May
vs FA Šiauliai II
1–1
D
23 May
@ Atmosfera
1–1
D
19 May
@ BFA
1–2
L
2 May
vs Ekranas
3–1
W
29 Apr
@ Alternatyvus FK
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Žalgiris II and Garliava.
What is the prediction for Žalgiris II vs Garliava?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Žalgiris II vs Garliava?
On our numbers Žalgiris II have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Garliava 39%.
How many goals will there be in Žalgiris II vs Garliava?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Žalgiris II vs Garliava?
Our predicted score is Žalgiris II 2–1 Garliava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Žalgiris II vs Garliava?
Žalgiris II vs Garliava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
