Petrolul Ploiesti v Oţelul Prediction & Expected Goals (18 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPetrolul Ploiesti to win ✗58% · @1.60

Double chancePetrolul Ploiesti or draw ✗81% · @1.08

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:30 WAT, Monday 18 May: Petrolul Ploiesti v Oţelul in the Liga I, played at Stadionul Ilie Oană. In the table, Petrolul Ploiesti are 4th, among the top four, on 27 points after 15 matches; Oţelul are 14th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Petrolul Ploiesti, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Botosani, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Oţelul, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Metaloglobus, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Petrolul Ploiesti 1.7 xG, Oţelul 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Petrolul Ploiesti 58%, draw 23%, Oţelul 19%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Petrolul Ploiesti 1–0 Oţelul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Petrolul Ploiesti58%fair 1.72 · @1.60

Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.45

Oţelul19%fair 5.29 · @5.70

2.66Expected goals

1.74Petrolul Ploiesti xG

0.92Oţelul xG

55%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%

1–111%

2–011%

2–110%

0–07%

0–16%

From our goals model: Petrolul Ploiesti 1.7 – 0.9 Oţelul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Petrolul Ploiesti to win ✗	58%	1.72	1.60
Double chance	Petrolul Ploiesti or draw ✗	81%	1.23	1.08
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.80	1.95 ▲
Draw no bet	Petrolul Ploiesti (draw no bet) ✗	75%	1.33	–
Asian handicap	Oţelul +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.90	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	73%	1.36	1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Petrolul Ploiesti to score first	61%	1.64	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.42	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Petrolul Ploiesti / FT Petrolul Ploiesti ✗	35%	2.86	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.26	–

Petrolul Ploiesti – last 6

DLWLDL

10 May	@ FC Botosani	1–1	D
24 Apr	@ FCSB	1–3	L
6 Apr	vs Csikszereda	2–0	W
15 Mar	@ Farul Constanta	0–2	L
1 Mar	vs Csikszereda	1–1	D
21 Feb	@ CFR 1907 Cluj	1–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Oţelul – last 6

DWWLLL

2 May	vs Metaloglobus	2–2	D
17 Apr	vs Uta Arad	1–0	W
4 Apr	vs AFC Hermannstadt	2–0	W
23 Mar	@ Unirea Slobozia	1–2	L
8 Mar	vs AFC Hermannstadt	0–2	L
27 Feb	@ Universitatea Cluj	0–4	L

1.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Universitatea Craiova	15	10	3	2	+24	33
2	Dinamo Bucuresti	15	10	3	2	+21	33
3	Rapid	15	9	4	2	+10	31
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	15	8	3	4	+2	27
5	Universitatea Cluj	15	8	2	5	+6	26
6	Farul Constanta	15	6	6	3	+2	24
7	Corvinul Hunedoara	15	6	4	5	+1	22
8	FCSB	15	6	3	6	-1	21
9	CFR 1907 Cluj	15	5	4	6	-1	19
10	Uta Arad	15	5	3	7	-4	18
11	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	15	4	6	5	-9	18
12	FC Botosani	15	3	6	6	-1	15
13	Arges Pitesti	15	4	3	8	-7	15
14	Oţelul	15	2	7	6	-6	13
15	FC Voluntari	15	2	2	11	-18	8
16	Csikszereda	15	1	3	11	-19	6

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

+24

+21

+10

-1

-1

-4

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

-9

-1

-7

-6

-18

-19

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul?

On our numbers Petrolul Ploiesti have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oţelul 19%.

How many goals will there be in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul?

Our predicted score is Petrolul Ploiesti 1–0 Oţelul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul?

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul (Liga I) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Ilie Oană.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Petrolul Ploiesti v Oţelul: numbers & prediction