Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUniversitatea Craiova to win ✓56% · @1.88
Double chanceUniversitatea Craiova or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 27 April the Liga I brings Arges Pitesti against Universitatea Craiova at Stadionul Orasenesc. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Arges Pitesti are 13th, lower half, on 15 points after 15 matches; Universitatea Craiova are 1st (leading the league) with 33. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arges Pitesti, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CFR 1907 Cluj, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Universitatea Craiova, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Universitatea Cluj, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Universitatea Craiova 0–1 Arges Pitesti.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arges Pitesti 0.7 xG, Universitatea Craiova 1.5 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arges Pitesti 18%, draw 26%, Universitatea Craiova 56%.
Lower-risk option: Universitatea Craiova or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Universitatea Craiova or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arges Pitesti 0–1 Universitatea Craiova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arges Pitesti18%fair 5.63 · @4.30
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.10
Universitatea Craiova56%fair 1.79 · @1.88
2.22Expected goals
0.72Arges Pitesti xG
1.50Universitatea Craiova xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–212%
1–112%
0–011%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Arges Pitesti 0.7 – 1.5 Universitatea Craiova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitatea Craiova to win✓
56%
1.79
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Universitatea Craiova or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Universitatea Craiova (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Arges Pitesti +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Universitatea Craiova to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitatea Craiova / FT Universitatea Craiova✓
What is the prediction for Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova?
Our pick is Universitatea Craiova or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova?
On our numbers Arges Pitesti have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Universitatea Craiova 56%.
How many goals will there be in Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova?
Our predicted score is Arges Pitesti 0–1 Universitatea Craiova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova?
Arges Pitesti vs Universitatea Craiova (Liga I) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Orasenesc.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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